AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Pro Sep 28, 2024

Independiente del Valle

Home
VS
18:30

Universidad O&M

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Independiente del Valle Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Universidad O&M Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.65 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.6
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Independiente del Valle Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Universidad O&M Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Independiente del Valle Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 24 Independi… vs Guayaquil… 1-2
Sep 21 Independi… vs Libertad … 1-1
Aug 29 Independi… vs Cuniburo 1-2
Aug 10 Independi… vs FC Barcel… 3-2
May 18 Independi… vs LDU Quito 1-1
Apr 14 Independi… vs Universid… 2-2
Apr 07 Independi… vs Libertad … 3-0
Mar 09 Independi… vs FC Barcel… 3-1
Dec 17 Independi… vs LDU Quito 1-1
Dec 10 Independi… vs LDU Quito 0-0
Universidad O&M Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 22 Universid… vs Cibao 2-1
Sep 19 Universid… vs Tecnico U… 2-2
Sep 16 Universid… vs Atlético … 2-3
Sep 14 Universid… vs Orense SC 2-2
Sep 01 Universid… vs Atlético … 1-2
Aug 25 Universid… vs FC Barcel… 1-0
Aug 24 Universid… vs Cibao 1-2
Aug 19 Universid… vs Atlético … 0-0
Aug 15 Universid… vs Moca 1-2
Aug 11 Universid… vs Delfines … 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 14, 2024 Universidad O&M 2 - 2 Independiente del V… Liga Pro
Aug 26, 2023 Independiente del V… 0 - 1 Universidad O&M Liga Pro
Mar 31, 2023 Universidad O&M 2 - 3 Independiente del V… Liga Pro
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Independiente del Valle to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Independiente del Valle Power 0
Universidad O&M Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.