Erovnuli Liga 2 · Oct 19, 2024 11:00
Paris FC
PWR 31
Gareji
PWR 64
Paris FC
PWR 31
1 - 3
FT
Gareji
PWR 64
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Paris FC to win (82% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
82%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (11%)
2-0 (10%)
3-1 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
1-0 (6%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-3
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 74%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy68%
TOP3_VS_BOTTOMPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskConfidence 73.6% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack39
Defense49
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.7
Attack82
Defense50
Goals/G2.3
Conc/G1.4
Paris FC Form
DDWDW
STABLE
Gareji Form
WWDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS49%
Under 2.535%
Paris FC Goals
0
4%
1
13%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Gareji Goals
0
49%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.26
Paris FCvs
0.72
GarejiDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Paris FC+10
Gap#11
Gareji
WR 40% 92 pts
WR 58% 22 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC | 62 | 25 | 17 | 20 | 90 | 88 | 92 |
| Gareji | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 22 |
Paris FC
14.0%
| Oct 06 | Paris FC v Nice | 1-1 |
| Oct 05 | Paris FC v Lokomot… | 1-1 |
| Oct 04 | Paris FC v Laval | 1-0 |
| Sep 29 | Paris FC v Pafos FC | 1-1 |
| Sep 28 | Paris FC v Red Star | 1-3 |
| Sep 27 | Paris FC v Rennes … | 3-1 |
| Sep 26 | Paris FC v Rustavi | 3-1 |
| Sep 24 | Paris FC v Guingamp | 2-0 |
| Sep 22 | Paris FC v Sioni B… | 0-2 |
| Sep 21 | Paris FC v Reims | 1-1 |
Gareji
18.0%
| Aug 17 | Gareji v Paris FC | 5-1 |
| May 11 | Gareji v Paris FC | 1-2 |
| Mar 12 | Gareji v Paris FC | 1-1 |
| Nov 03 | Gareji v Paris FC | 0-5 |
| Aug 23 | Gareji v Paris FC | 3-2 |
| May 19 | Gareji v Paris FC | 2-3 |
| Mar 31 | Gareji v Paris FC | 5-0 |
| Feb 14 | Gareji v Paris FC | 2-2 |
| Aug 07 | Gareji v Telavi | 0-1 |
| Dec 03 | Gareji v Gagra | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Aug 17, 2024 | Gareji | 5-1 | Paris FC |
| May 11, 2024 | Paris FC | 1-2 | Gareji |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Gareji | 1-1 | Paris FC |
| Nov 03, 2023 | Paris FC | 0-5 | Gareji |
| Aug 23, 2023 | Gareji | 3-2 | Paris FC |
| May 19, 2023 | Paris FC | 2-3 | Gareji |
| Mar 31, 2023 | Gareji | 5-0 | Paris FC |
| Feb 14, 2023 | Paris FC | 2-2 | Gareji |
Key Factors
Gareji in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.