Erovnuli Liga 2 · Nov 03, 2023 14:00
Paris FC
PWR 31
Gareji
PWR 64
Paris FC
PWR 31
0 - 5
FT
Gareji
PWR 64
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Draw expected (84% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
84%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (15%)
1-0 (13%)
3-0 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-5
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 74%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy68%
TOP3_VS_BOTTOMPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskConfidence 73.6% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack39
Defense49
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.7
Attack82
Defense50
Goals/G2.3
Conc/G1.4
Paris FC Form
DWLLW
STABLE
Gareji Form
WWWDL
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.552%
BTTS40%
Under 2.548%
Paris FC Goals
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Gareji Goals
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Paris FCvs
0.60
GarejiDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Paris FC+10
Gap#11
Gareji
WR 40% 92 pts
WR 58% 22 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC | 62 | 25 | 17 | 20 | 90 | 88 | 92 |
| Gareji | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 22 |
Paris FC
10.0%
| Oct 27 | Paris FC v Lokomot… | 1-1 |
| Oct 21 | Paris FC v Ethniko… | 2-0 |
| Oct 07 | Paris FC v Auxerre | 0-2 |
| Sep 30 | Paris FC v Apollon… | 0-1 |
| Sep 23 | Paris FC v Sioni B… | 0-2 |
| Sep 17 | Paris FC v Pafos FC | 1-1 |
| Sep 08 | Paris FC v Algeria | 1-7 |
| Sep 02 | Paris FC v Angers | 2-0 |
| Aug 23 | Paris FC v Gareji | 3-2 |
| Aug 21 | Paris FC v AEK Lar… | 2-0 |
Gareji
14.0%
| Aug 23 | Gareji v Paris FC | 3-2 |
| May 19 | Gareji v Paris FC | 2-3 |
| Mar 31 | Gareji v Paris FC | 5-0 |
| Feb 14 | Gareji v Paris FC | 2-2 |
| Aug 07 | Gareji v Telavi | 0-1 |
| Dec 03 | Gareji v Gagra | 3-0 |
| Sep 28 | Gareji v Gagra | 1-2 |
| Jun 23 | Gareji v Gagra | 3-0 |
| Apr 24 | Gareji v Gagra | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Aug 23, 2023 | Gareji | 3-2 | Paris FC |
| May 19, 2023 | Paris FC | 2-3 | Gareji |
| Mar 31, 2023 | Gareji | 5-0 | Paris FC |
| Feb 14, 2023 | Paris FC | 2-2 | Gareji |
Key Factors
Gareji in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.