Serie A · Aug 11, 2024 00:30

Vasco DA Gama
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT

Fluminense
PWR 35
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)āš ļø Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probabilityšŸ’” PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Vasco DA Gama Form WDLLW
STABLE
Fluminense Form DWLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS55%
Under 2.538%
Vasco DA Ga… Goals
0
8%
1
20%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Fluminense Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.51
Vasco DA Gama
vs
0.92
Fluminense
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum88%
Standings36%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#13
Vasco DA Ga…
-7
Gap
#6
Fluminense
WR 0% 1 pts WR 0% 4 pts
Vasco DA Gama 10.0%
Aug 07 Vasco D… v Athleti… 1-0
Aug 01 Vasco D… v Athleti… 1-1
Jul 28 Vasco D… v Remo 1-0
Jul 21 Vasco D… v Atletic… 2-0
Jul 10 Vasco D… v Corinth… 2-0
Jul 07 Vasco D… v Interna… 1-2
Jun 29 Vasco D… v Botafogo 1-1
Jun 02 Vasco D… v Flamengo 1-6
May 22 Vasco D… v Fortale… 3-3
Apr 20 Vasco D… v Flumine… 2-1
Fluminense 6.0%
Aug 08 Flumine… v Juventu… 2-2
Aug 04 Flumine… v Bahia 1-0
Aug 01 Flumine… v Juventu… 3-2
Jun 30 Flumine… v Remo 1-0
Jun 23 Flumine… v Flamengo 0-1
Jun 20 Flumine… v Cruzeiro 2-0
Jun 11 Flumine… v Botafogo 1-0
May 22 Flumine… v Sampaio… 2-0
May 13 Flumine… v SĆ£o Pau… 2-1
May 01 Flumine… v Sampaio… 0-2
Head-to-Head (5)
Apr 20, 2024 Fluminense 2-1 Vasco DA Gama
Feb 15, 2024 Fluminense 0-0 Vasco DA Gama
Sep 16, 2023 Vasco DA Gama 4-2 Fluminense
May 07, 2023 Fluminense 1-1 Vasco DA Gama
Feb 12, 2023 Fluminense 2-0 Vasco DA Gama
Key Factors
Fluminense struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.