Serie A · Apr 20, 2024 19:00
Fluminense
PWR 35
Vasco DA Gama
PWR 35
Fluminense
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
Vasco DA Gama
PWR 35
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
Fluminense Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
74%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (13%)
0-1 (13%)
1-0 (11%)
0-0 (10%)
1-2 (8%)
0-2 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 5 rules · 74%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy68%
FORM_DOMINANTHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (5 rules, 74% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Fluminense Form
LDLWL
STABLE
Vasco DA Gama Form
DDWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.539%
BTTS46%
Under 2.561%
Fluminense Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Vasco DA Ga… Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Fluminensevs
1.22
Vasco DA GamaDecision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings74%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Fluminense+7
Gap#13
Vasco DA Ga…
WR 100% 4 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Fluminense
6.0%
| Apr 17 | Flumine… v Bahia | 2-1 |
| Mar 17 | Flumine… v Flamengo | 0-0 |
| Mar 10 | Flumine… v Flamengo | 0-2 |
| Mar 10 | Flumine… v Atlétic… | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | Flumine… v Botafogo | 2-4 |
| Feb 29 | Flumine… v Santos | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | Flumine… v Santos | 0-3 |
| Feb 25 | Flumine… v Flamengo | 2-0 |
| Feb 24 | Flumine… v São Jos… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Flumine… v Monte A… | 1-1 |
Vasco DA Gama
12.0%
| Apr 18 | Vasco D… v Humaitá | 1-1 |
| Apr 15 | Vasco D… v Rio Bra… | 3-3 |
| Apr 14 | Vasco D… v Remo | 2-1 |
| Mar 19 | Vasco D… v ADESG | 2-1 |
| Mar 17 | Vasco D… v Nova Ig… | 1-0 |
| Mar 10 | Vasco D… v Rio Bra… | 2-0 |
| Mar 10 | Vasco D… v Nova Ig… | 1-1 |
| Feb 18 | Vasco D… v Botafogo | 2-4 |
| Feb 15 | Vasco D… v Flumine… | 0-0 |
| Feb 04 | Vasco D… v Flamengo | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Feb 15, 2024 | Fluminense | 0-0 | Vasco DA Gama |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Vasco DA Gama | 4-2 | Fluminense |
| May 07, 2023 | Fluminense | 1-1 | Vasco DA Gama |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Fluminense | 2-0 | Vasco DA Gama |
Key Factors
Fluminense struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.