Carioca - 1 · Feb 15, 2024 00:30

Fluminense
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT

Vasco DA Gama
PWR 35
35% H 27% D 38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Fluminense to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (18%) 0-0 (16%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Fluminense Form DLDWL
STABLE
Vasco DA Gama Form DLWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.527%
BTTS21%
Under 2.573%
Fluminense Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Vasco DA Ga… Goals
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Fluminense
vs
0.32
Vasco DA Gama
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings67%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Fluminense
+3
Gap
#4
Vasco DA Ga…
WR 80% 12 pts WR 40% 8 pts
Fluminense 8.0%
Feb 04 Flumine… v Boavista 2-2
Feb 03 Flumine… v Taubaté 0-1
Jan 31 Flumine… v Botafogo 0-0
Jan 28 Flumine… v Nova Ig… 3-0
Jan 28 Flumine… v Figueir… 0-1
Dec 07 Flumine… v Remo 2-3
Dec 03 Flumine… v Palmeir… 1-0
Nov 29 Flumine… v Santos 0-3
Nov 26 Flumine… v Corinth… 2-1
Nov 23 Flumine… v São Pau… 1-0
Vasco DA Gama 14.0%
Feb 04 Vasco D… v Flamengo 0-0
Jan 31 Vasco D… v Nova Ig… 2-0
Jan 26 Vasco D… v Madurei… 2-0
Jan 18 Vasco D… v Boavista 2-0
Dec 07 Vasco D… v RB Brag… 2-1
Dec 03 Vasco D… v Remo 1-0
Nov 29 Vasco D… v Corinth… 2-4
Nov 25 Vasco D… v Athleti… 0-0
Nov 22 Vasco D… v Cruzeiro 2-2
Nov 06 Vasco D… v Botafogo 1-0
Head-to-Head (3)
Sep 16, 2023 Vasco DA Gama 4-2 Fluminense
May 07, 2023 Fluminense 1-1 Vasco DA Gama
Feb 12, 2023 Fluminense 2-0 Vasco DA Gama
Key Factors
Vasco DA Gama in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.