Serie A · Sep 16, 2023 19:00
Vasco DA Gama
PWR 35
Fluminense
PWR 35
Vasco DA Gama
PWR 35
4 - 2
FT
Fluminense
PWR 35
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (22%)
1-0 (21%)
3-0 (16%)
0-0 (10%)
2-1 (4%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)ā ļø Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probabilityš” PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Vasco DA Gama Form
WWLLL
STABLE
Fluminense Form
LWLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.539%
BTTS16%
Under 2.561%
Vasco DA Gaā¦ Goals
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Fluminense Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
Vasco DA Gamavs
0.20
FluminenseDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum93%
Standings36%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#13
Vasco DA Gaā¦-7
Gap#6
Fluminense
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 4 pts
Vasco DA Gama
8.0%
| Aug 20 | Vasco Dā¦ v Atleticā¦ | 1-0 |
| Aug 06 | Vasco Dā¦ v Remo | 1-0 |
| Jul 29 | Vasco Dā¦ v Corinthā¦ | 3-1 |
| Jul 02 | Vasco Dā¦ v Botafogo | 2-0 |
| Jun 11 | Vasco Dā¦ v Internaā¦ | 2-1 |
| Jun 05 | Vasco Dā¦ v Flamengo | 1-4 |
| May 07 | Vasco Dā¦ v Flumineā¦ | 1-1 |
| Apr 16 | Vasco Dā¦ v Atleticā¦ | 1-2 |
| Feb 27 | Vasco Dā¦ v Boavista | 4-1 |
| Feb 12 | Vasco Dā¦ v Flumineā¦ | 2-0 |
Fluminense
8.0%
| Aug 13 | Flumineā¦ v Remo | 2-1 |
| Jul 29 | Flumineā¦ v Santos | 1-0 |
| Jul 01 | Flumineā¦ v SĆ£o Pauā¦ | 1-0 |
| Jun 24 | Flumineā¦ v Bahia | 2-1 |
| May 20 | Flumineā¦ v Botafogo | 1-0 |
| May 07 | Flumineā¦ v Vasco Dā¦ | 1-1 |
| Apr 29 | Flumineā¦ v Botafogo | 2-0 |
| Apr 01 | Flumineā¦ v Santos | 2-1 |
| Mar 29 | Flumineā¦ v Santos | 1-0 |
| Mar 18 | Flumineā¦ v Santos | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| May 07, 2023 | Fluminense | 1-1 | Vasco DA Gama |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Fluminense | 2-0 | Vasco DA Gama |
Key Factors
Vasco DA Gama struggling (3L in last 5)
Fluminense struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.