Eredivisie · Feb 11, 2026 20:00

NEC Nijmegen
PWR 35

Utrecht
PWR 35

NEC Nijmegen
PWR 35
5-1
predicted

Utrecht
PWR 35
71% H
20% D
9% A
Final Verdict
NEC Nijmegen Win
Prediction
5-1
Score
82%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (19%)
2-0 (15%)
0-0 (13%)
1-1 (11%)
2-1 (8%)
3-0 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 5 rules · 82%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy88%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPHOME_FORMTABLE_EXTREMESDOMINANT_COMBO
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Full data available (Tier 1)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed (5 independent rules, 82% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
NEC Nijmegen Form
WWWWW
UP
Utrecht Form
LDDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.533%
BTTS33%
Under 2.567%
NEC Nijmegen Goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Utrecht Goals
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
NEC Nijmegenvs
0.55
UtrechtDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings85%
Market52%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
NEC Nijmegen+10
Gap#13
Utrecht
WR 70% 41 pts
WR 10% 24 pts
NEC Nijmegen
20.0%
| Feb 07 | NEC Nij… v Heracles | 4-1 |
| Feb 04 | NEC Nij… v FC Vole… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | NEC Nij… v AZ Alkm… | 1-3 |
| Jan 24 | NEC Nij… v PEC Zwo… | 2-1 |
| Jan 20 | NEC Nij… v De Tref… | 1-2 |
| Jan 17 | NEC Nij… v NAC Bre… | 3-4 |
| Dec 20 | NEC Nij… v Ajax | 2-2 |
| Dec 16 | NEC Nij… v AFC Ams… | 1-3 |
| Dec 13 | NEC Nij… v Telstar | 2-2 |
| Dec 07 | NEC Nij… v FC Vole… | 2-3 |
Utrecht
4.0%
| Feb 08 | Utrecht v Feyenoo… | 0-1 |
| Feb 01 | Utrecht v Heerenv… | 1-1 |
| Jan 29 | Utrecht v Celtic | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Utrecht v Sparta … | 0-1 |
| Jan 22 | Utrecht v Gent | 0-2 |
| Jan 18 | Utrecht v FC Vole… | 2-1 |
| Jan 13 | Utrecht v FC Twen… | 1-2 |
| Dec 21 | Utrecht v PSV Ein… | 1-2 |
| Dec 17 | Utrecht v FC OSS | 0-2 |
| Dec 14 | Utrecht v NAC Bre… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 02, 2025 | Utrecht | 1-0 | NEC Nijmegen |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Utrecht | 0-1 | NEC Nijmegen |
| Nov 24, 2024 | NEC Nijmegen | 1-2 | Utrecht |
| Nov 24, 2024 | NEC Nijmegen | 1-2 | Utrecht |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Utrecht | 1-0 | NEC Nijmegen |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Utrecht | 1-0 | NEC Nijmegen |
| Sep 23, 2023 | NEC Nijmegen | 3-0 | Utrecht |
| Mar 12, 2023 | NEC Nijmegen | 2-2 | Utrecht |
| Sep 16, 2022 | Utrecht | 0-0 | NEC Nijmegen |
| Apr 29, 2022 | Utrecht | 1-0 | NEC Nijmegen |
Key Factors
NEC Nijmegen in strong form (5W in last 5)
Utrecht struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.