Eredivisie · Feb 11, 2026 20:00

NEC Nijmegen
PWR 35
5-1
predicted

Utrecht
PWR 35
71% H 20% D 9% A
Final Verdict
NEC Nijmegen Win
Prediction
5-1
Score
82%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (15%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 5 rules · 82%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy88%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPHOME_FORMTABLE_EXTREMESDOMINANT_COMBO
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Full data available (Tier 1)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed (5 independent rules, 82% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
NEC Nijmegen Form WWWWW
UP
Utrecht Form LDDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.533%
BTTS33%
Under 2.567%
NEC Nijmegen Goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Utrecht Goals
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
NEC Nijmegen
vs
0.55
Utrecht
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings85%
Market52%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
NEC Nijmegen
+10
Gap
#13
Utrecht
WR 70% 41 pts WR 10% 24 pts
NEC Nijmegen 20.0%
Feb 07 NEC Nij… v Heracles 4-1
Feb 04 NEC Nij… v FC Vole… 1-0
Jan 31 NEC Nij… v AZ Alkm… 1-3
Jan 24 NEC Nij… v PEC Zwo… 2-1
Jan 20 NEC Nij… v De Tref… 1-2
Jan 17 NEC Nij… v NAC Bre… 3-4
Dec 20 NEC Nij… v Ajax 2-2
Dec 16 NEC Nij… v AFC Ams… 1-3
Dec 13 NEC Nij… v Telstar 2-2
Dec 07 NEC Nij… v FC Vole… 2-3
Utrecht 4.0%
Feb 08 Utrecht v Feyenoo… 0-1
Feb 01 Utrecht v Heerenv… 1-1
Jan 29 Utrecht v Celtic 0-0
Jan 25 Utrecht v Sparta … 0-1
Jan 22 Utrecht v Gent 0-2
Jan 18 Utrecht v FC Vole… 2-1
Jan 13 Utrecht v FC Twen… 1-2
Dec 21 Utrecht v PSV Ein… 1-2
Dec 17 Utrecht v FC OSS 0-2
Dec 14 Utrecht v NAC Bre… 1-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Nov 02, 2025 Utrecht 1-0 NEC Nijmegen
Mar 15, 2025 Utrecht 0-1 NEC Nijmegen
Nov 24, 2024 NEC Nijmegen 1-2 Utrecht
Nov 24, 2024 NEC Nijmegen 1-2 Utrecht
Mar 17, 2024 Utrecht 1-0 NEC Nijmegen
Mar 17, 2024 Utrecht 1-0 NEC Nijmegen
Sep 23, 2023 NEC Nijmegen 3-0 Utrecht
Mar 12, 2023 NEC Nijmegen 2-2 Utrecht
Sep 16, 2022 Utrecht 0-0 NEC Nijmegen
Apr 29, 2022 Utrecht 1-0 NEC Nijmegen
Key Factors
NEC Nijmegen in strong form (5W in last 5)
Utrecht struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.