Erovnuli Liga 2 · Nov 30, 2024 10:00

Lokomotiv Tbilisi
PWR 43
1 - 0
FT

Aragvi Dusheti
PWR 41
44% H 25% D 31% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Lokomotiv Tbilisi to win (84% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
84%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 3-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 7.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack50
Defense46
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.5
Attack44
Defense52
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.4
Lokomotiv Tbil… Form WDDDL
STABLE
Aragvi Dusheti Form DLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.573%
BTTS75%
Under 2.527%
Lokomotiv T… Goals
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Aragvi Dush… Goals
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Lokomotiv Tbil…
vs
1.99
Aragvi Dusheti
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Lokomotiv T…
+10
Gap
#13
Aragvi Dush…
WR 32% 79 pts WR 25% 8 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Lokomotiv Tbili…62201923899679
Aragvi Dusheti822410118
Lokomotiv Tbil… 10.0%
Nov 09 Lokomot… v Sioni B… 2-1
Oct 28 Lokomot… v Dinamo … 1-1
Oct 05 Lokomot… v Paris FC 1-1
Sep 26 Lokomot… v Aragvi … 1-1
Sep 01 Lokomot… v Sioni B… 2-0
Aug 23 Lokomot… v Dinamo … 1-2
Aug 10 Lokomot… v Paris FC 0-5
Jul 31 Lokomot… v Aragvi … 2-1
May 24 Lokomot… v Sioni B… 2-4
May 15 Lokomot… v Dinamo … 2-4
Aragvi Dusheti 10.0%
Sep 26 Aragvi … v Lokomot… 1-1
Jul 31 Aragvi … v Lokomot… 2-1
Apr 22 Aragvi … v Lokomot… 3-1
Head-to-Head (3)
Sep 26, 2024 Aragvi Dusheti 1-1 Lokomotiv Tbi…
Jul 31, 2024 Lokomotiv Tbi… 2-1 Aragvi Dusheti
Apr 22, 2024 Aragvi Dusheti 3-1 Lokomotiv Tbi…
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.