Erovnuli Liga 2 · Nov 30, 2024 10:00

Lokomotiv Tbilisi
PWR 43

Aragvi Dusheti
PWR 41

Lokomotiv Tbilisi
PWR 43
1 - 0
FT

Aragvi Dusheti
PWR 41
44% H
25% D
31% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Lokomotiv Tbilisi to win (84% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
84%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (7%)
1-1 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
1-2 (7%)
3-1 (5%)
3-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 7.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack50
Defense46
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.5
Attack44
Defense52
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.4
Lokomotiv Tbil… Form
WDDDL
STABLE
Aragvi Dusheti Form
DLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.573%
BTTS75%
Under 2.527%
Lokomotiv T… Goals
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Aragvi Dush… Goals
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Lokomotiv Tbil…vs
1.99
Aragvi DushetiDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Lokomotiv T…+10
Gap#13
Aragvi Dush…
WR 32% 79 pts
WR 25% 8 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Tbili… | 62 | 20 | 19 | 23 | 89 | 96 | 79 |
| Aragvi Dusheti | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 8 |
Lokomotiv Tbil…
10.0%
| Nov 09 | Lokomot… v Sioni B… | 2-1 |
| Oct 28 | Lokomot… v Dinamo … | 1-1 |
| Oct 05 | Lokomot… v Paris FC | 1-1 |
| Sep 26 | Lokomot… v Aragvi … | 1-1 |
| Sep 01 | Lokomot… v Sioni B… | 2-0 |
| Aug 23 | Lokomot… v Dinamo … | 1-2 |
| Aug 10 | Lokomot… v Paris FC | 0-5 |
| Jul 31 | Lokomot… v Aragvi … | 2-1 |
| May 24 | Lokomot… v Sioni B… | 2-4 |
| May 15 | Lokomot… v Dinamo … | 2-4 |
Aragvi Dusheti
10.0%
| Sep 26 | Aragvi … v Lokomot… | 1-1 |
| Jul 31 | Aragvi … v Lokomot… | 2-1 |
| Apr 22 | Aragvi … v Lokomot… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Sep 26, 2024 | Aragvi Dusheti | 1-1 | Lokomotiv Tbi… |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Lokomotiv Tbi… | 2-1 | Aragvi Dusheti |
| Apr 22, 2024 | Aragvi Dusheti | 3-1 | Lokomotiv Tbi… |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.