Erovnuli Liga 2 · Sep 26, 2024 14:00

Aragvi Dusheti
PWR 41

Lokomotiv Tbilisi
PWR 43

Aragvi Dusheti
PWR 41
1 - 1
FT

Lokomotiv Tbilisi
PWR 43
42% H
26% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
1-0 (7%)
1-2 (7%)
2-0 (7%)
2-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAPAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 7% = high draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack44
Defense52
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.4
Attack50
Defense46
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.5
Aragvi Dusheti Form
LW
STABLE
Lokomotiv Tbil… Form
LWWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS62%
Under 2.540%
Aragvi Dush… Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Lokomotiv T… Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Aragvi Dushetivs
1.39
Lokomotiv Tbil…Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum63%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#13
Aragvi Dush…-10
Gap#3
Lokomotiv T…
WR 25% 8 pts
WR 32% 79 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aragvi Dusheti | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 8 |
| Lokomotiv Tbili… | 62 | 20 | 19 | 23 | 89 | 96 | 79 |
Aragvi Dusheti
10.0%
| Jul 31 | Aragvi … v Lokomot… | 2-1 |
| Apr 22 | Aragvi … v Lokomot… | 3-1 |
Lokomotiv Tbil…
12.0%
| Sep 01 | Lokomot… v Sioni B… | 2-0 |
| Aug 23 | Lokomot… v Dinamo … | 1-2 |
| Aug 10 | Lokomot… v Paris FC | 0-5 |
| Jul 31 | Lokomot… v Aragvi … | 2-1 |
| May 24 | Lokomot… v Sioni B… | 2-4 |
| May 15 | Lokomot… v Dinamo … | 2-4 |
| May 01 | Lokomot… v Paris FC | 1-0 |
| Apr 22 | Lokomot… v Aragvi … | 3-1 |
| Apr 06 | Lokomot… v Sioni B… | 4-0 |
| Mar 14 | Lokomot… v Dinamo … | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jul 31, 2024 | Lokomotiv Tbi… | 2-1 | Aragvi Dusheti |
| Apr 22, 2024 | Aragvi Dusheti | 3-1 | Lokomotiv Tbi… |
Key Factors
Lokomotiv Tbilisi in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.