Erovnuli Liga 2 · Sep 26, 2024 14:00

Aragvi Dusheti
PWR 41
1 - 1
FT

Lokomotiv Tbilisi
PWR 43
42% H 26% D 32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 2-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 55%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAPAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 7% = high draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack44
Defense52
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.4
Attack50
Defense46
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.5
Aragvi Dusheti Form LW
STABLE
Lokomotiv Tbil… Form LWWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS62%
Under 2.540%
Aragvi Dush… Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Lokomotiv T… Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Aragvi Dusheti
vs
1.39
Lokomotiv Tbil…
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum63%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#13
Aragvi Dush…
-10
Gap
#3
Lokomotiv T…
WR 25% 8 pts WR 32% 79 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Aragvi Dusheti822410118
Lokomotiv Tbili…62201923899679
Aragvi Dusheti 10.0%
Jul 31 Aragvi … v Lokomot… 2-1
Apr 22 Aragvi … v Lokomot… 3-1
Lokomotiv Tbil… 12.0%
Sep 01 Lokomot… v Sioni B… 2-0
Aug 23 Lokomot… v Dinamo … 1-2
Aug 10 Lokomot… v Paris FC 0-5
Jul 31 Lokomot… v Aragvi … 2-1
May 24 Lokomot… v Sioni B… 2-4
May 15 Lokomot… v Dinamo … 2-4
May 01 Lokomot… v Paris FC 1-0
Apr 22 Lokomot… v Aragvi … 3-1
Apr 06 Lokomot… v Sioni B… 4-0
Mar 14 Lokomot… v Dinamo … 1-1
Head-to-Head (2)
Jul 31, 2024 Lokomotiv Tbi… 2-1 Aragvi Dusheti
Apr 22, 2024 Aragvi Dusheti 3-1 Lokomotiv Tbi…
Key Factors
Lokomotiv Tbilisi in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.