Erovnuli Liga 2 · Jul 31, 2024 16:00
Lokomotiv Tbilisi
PWR 43
Aragvi Dusheti
PWR 41
Lokomotiv Tbilisi
PWR 43
2 - 1
FT
Aragvi Dusheti
PWR 41
21% H
30% D
49% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Lokomotiv Tbilisi to win (79% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
79%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (10%)
1-1 (9%)
2-0 (8%)
1-0 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
3-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 68%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy73%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 7% = high draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.1%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack50
Defense46
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.5
Attack44
Defense52
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.4
Lokomotiv Tbil… Form
LLWLL
DOWN
Aragvi Dusheti Form
W
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS60%
Under 2.539%
Lokomotiv T… Goals
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Aragvi Dush… Goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Lokomotiv Tbil…vs
1.17
Aragvi DushetiDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Lokomotiv T…+10
Gap#13
Aragvi Dush…
WR 32% 79 pts
WR 25% 8 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Tbili… | 62 | 20 | 19 | 23 | 89 | 96 | 79 |
| Aragvi Dusheti | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 8 |
Lokomotiv Tbil…
4.0%
| May 24 | Lokomot… v Sioni B… | 2-4 |
| May 15 | Lokomot… v Dinamo … | 2-4 |
| May 01 | Lokomot… v Paris FC | 1-0 |
| Apr 22 | Lokomot… v Aragvi … | 3-1 |
| Apr 06 | Lokomot… v Sioni B… | 4-0 |
| Mar 14 | Lokomot… v Dinamo … | 1-1 |
| Mar 05 | Lokomot… v Paris FC | 1-1 |
| Oct 27 | Lokomot… v Paris FC | 1-1 |
| Oct 06 | Lokomot… v Dinamo … | 3-1 |
| Oct 02 | Lokomot… v Sioni B… | 0-1 |
Aragvi Dusheti
20.0%
| Apr 22 | Aragvi … v Lokomot… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Apr 22, 2024 | Aragvi Dusheti | 3-1 | Lokomotiv Tbi… |
Key Factors
Lokomotiv Tbilisi struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.