AI Match Insights

Ligue 1 Nov 30, 2022

Céleste

Home
VS
14:30

Maniema Union

Away
AI Predictions 40.1% Confidence
Céleste Win
32.3%
Draw
27.5%
Maniema Union Win
40.1%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.75 - 1.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 1.2
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Céleste Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Maniema Union Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 1-2 (7%) 0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Céleste Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 21 Céleste vs Rangers FC 1-0
Nov 13 Céleste vs Motema Pe… 1-1
Nov 04 Céleste vs Dauphins … 0-1
Maniema Union Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 12 Maniema U… vs Rangers FC 2-0
Oct 16 Maniema U… vs Dauphins … 2-0
Oct 13 Maniema U… vs Etoile de… 3-0
Jun 19 Maniema U… vs Rangers FC 0-0
Jan 23 Maniema U… vs Etoile de… 1-0
Jan 20 Maniema U… vs Dauphins … 2-0
Oct 12 Maniema U… vs Renaissan… 2-2
Apr 14 Maniema U… vs Renaissan… 1-0
Apr 08 Maniema U… vs Dauphins … 1-2
Oct 02 Maniema U… vs Renaissan… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Maniema Union in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Céleste Power 0
Maniema Union Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Céleste Position

-1

Position Gap

4

Maniema Union Position

Home Win Rate: 57%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.