Cupa României · Apr 18, 2024 17:30

Oţelul
PWR 58
2 - 1
FT

Universitatea Craiova
PWR 68
57% H 23% D 20% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Oţelul to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-2 (11%) 1-2 (10%) 0-0 (8%) 1-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 2.5% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack63
Defense51
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G1.4
Attack61
Defense78
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G0.6
Oţelul Form WWDLL
STABLE
Universitatea … Form LLDLL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.546%
BTTS48%
Under 2.554%
Oţelul Goals
0
42%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Universitat… Goals
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Oţelul
vs
1.68
Universitatea …
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum39%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Oţelul
-9
Gap
#1
Universitat…
WR 60% 10 pts WR 63% 33 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Oţelul53119710
Universitatea C…161033281033
Oţelul 10.0%
Apr 08 Oţelul v Dinamo … 1-0
Apr 04 Oţelul v Univers… 0-1
Feb 27 Oţelul v CFR 190… 2-2
Feb 18 Oţelul v Dinamo … 3-1
Feb 03 Oţelul v Rapid 2-1
Dec 22 Oţelul v FC Boto… 0-2
Dec 17 Oţelul v Univers… 0-1
Dec 07 Oţelul v Dinamo … 3-3
Dec 03 Oţelul v FCSB 0-2
Nov 26 Oţelul v Univers… 1-3
Universitatea … 2.0%
Apr 13 Univers… v Petrolu… 1-2
Apr 12 Univers… v Farul C… 1-2
Apr 07 Univers… v AFC Her… 1-1
Apr 07 Univers… v FCSB 2-0
Apr 04 Univers… v Oţelul 0-1
Apr 03 Univers… v AFC Her… 1-0
Mar 30 Univers… v Uta Arad 0-0
Mar 30 Univers… v Rapid 2-1
Mar 16 Univers… v CFR 190… 1-2
Mar 04 Univers… v Rapid 1-1
Head-to-Head (5)
Apr 04, 2024 Universitatea… 0-1 Oţelul
Dec 17, 2023 Universitatea… 0-1 Oţelul
Nov 26, 2023 Oţelul 1-3 Universitatea…
Aug 12, 2023 Oţelul 1-1 Universitatea…
Jul 24, 2023 Universitatea… 0-0 Oţelul
Key Factors
Universitatea Craiova struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.