AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First League Feb 16, 2025

Ludogorets Razgrad

Home
VS
13:00

Beroe

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Ludogorets Razgrad Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Beroe Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 80%
Market 50%
Combined: 66% Draw Risk: 11%
xG: 2.42 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.2 Position gap: 10 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Ludogorets Razgrad Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Beroe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 1-0 (18%) 3-0 (17%) 0-0 (7%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
Ludogorets Razgrad Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 09 Ludogoret… vs CSKA Sofia 2-1
Dec 04 Ludogoret… vs Arda Kard… 0-4
Dec 01 Ludogoret… vs CSKA Sofia 2-0
Oct 20 Ludogoret… vs Septemvri… 0-2
Sep 21 Ludogoret… vs Lokomotiv… 2-0
Sep 18 Ludogoret… vs CSKA Sofia 0-1
Aug 25 Ludogoret… vs Beroe 0-1
Aug 17 Ludogoret… vs CSKA Sofia 1-0
Aug 03 Ludogoret… vs Arda Kard… 5-1
May 26 Ludogoret… vs CSKA Sofia 1-0
Beroe Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 30 Beroe vs Lokomotiv… 2-1
Nov 24 Beroe vs Septemvri… 2-0
Nov 09 Beroe vs Cherno Mo… 0-1
Nov 03 Beroe vs CSKA 1948 1-1
Oct 18 Beroe vs Slavia Pr… 3-0
Aug 25 Beroe vs Ludogoret… 0-1
Jul 29 Beroe vs Lokomotiv… 0-0
Jul 22 Beroe vs Septemvri… 0-1
May 21 Beroe vs Lokomotiv… 0-3
Apr 09 Beroe vs Lokomotiv… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ludogorets Razgrad in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 25, 2024 Beroe 0 - 1 Ludogorets Razgrad First League
Feb 26, 2024 Beroe 0 - 2 Ludogorets Razgrad First League
Aug 27, 2023 Ludogorets Razgrad 5 - 0 Beroe First League
May 03, 2023 Ludogorets Razgrad 2 - 1 Beroe First League
Oct 17, 2022 Beroe 0 - 4 Ludogorets Razgrad First League
Apr 09, 2022 Beroe 0 - 1 Ludogorets Razgrad First League
Oct 31, 2021 Ludogorets Razgrad 2 - 0 Beroe First League
May 04, 2021 Ludogorets Razgrad 3 - 1 Beroe First League
Mar 07, 2021 Beroe 1 - 4 Ludogorets Razgrad First League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ludogorets Razgrad to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ludogorets Razgrad Power 0
Beroe Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Ludogorets Razgrad Position

+10

Position Gap

13

Beroe Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.