Super Cup · Dec 18, 2025 19:00

Napoli
PWR 40
2 - 0
FT

AC Milan
PWR 45
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Napoli to win (56% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
56%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 8% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 8%, pos gap 1
Power & Form
Attack43
Defense73
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G0.9
Attack50
Defense78
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.7
Napoli Form LLWDW
DOWN
AC Milan Form DWLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.533%
BTTS29%
Under 2.567%
Napoli Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
AC Milan Goals
0
64%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Napoli
vs
0.45
AC Milan
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Napoli
+1
Gap
#3
AC Milan
WR 75% 9 pts WR 67% 6 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Napoli4301719
AC Milan3201556
Napoli 10.0%
Dec 14 Napoli v Udinese 1-0
Dec 10 Napoli v Benfica 2-0
Dec 07 Napoli v Juventus 2-1
Dec 03 Napoli v Cagliari 1-1
Nov 30 Napoli v AS Roma 0-1
Nov 25 Napoli v Qarabağ… 2-0
Nov 22 Napoli v Atalanta 3-1
Nov 09 Napoli v Bologna 2-0
Nov 04 Napoli v Eintrac… 0-0
Nov 01 Napoli v Como 0-0
AC Milan 14.0%
Dec 14 AC Milan v Sassuolo 2-2
Dec 08 AC Milan v Torino 2-3
Dec 04 AC Milan v Lazio 1-0
Nov 29 AC Milan v Lazio 1-0
Nov 23 AC Milan v Inter 0-1
Nov 08 AC Milan v Parma 2-2
Nov 02 AC Milan v AS Roma 1-0
Oct 28 AC Milan v Atalanta 1-1
Oct 24 AC Milan v Pisa 2-2
Oct 19 AC Milan v Fiorent… 2-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Sep 28, 2025 AC Milan 2-1 Napoli
Mar 30, 2025 Napoli 2-1 AC Milan
Oct 29, 2024 AC Milan 0-2 Napoli
Oct 29, 2024 AC Milan 0-2 Napoli
Feb 11, 2024 AC Milan 1-0 Napoli
Feb 11, 2024 AC Milan 1-0 Napoli
Oct 29, 2023 Napoli 2-2 AC Milan
Apr 18, 2023 Napoli 1-1 AC Milan
Apr 12, 2023 AC Milan 1-0 Napoli
Apr 02, 2023 Napoli 0-4 AC Milan
Key Factors
AC Milan in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.