Copa Colombia · Dec 18, 2025 00:30

Independiente Medellin
PWR 52
0 - 1
FT

Atlético Nacional
PWR 62
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (13%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.5% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack44
Defense67
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.0
Attack57
Defense73
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G0.8
Independiente … Form DWLDL
STABLE
Atlético Nacio… Form DLWLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS35%
Under 2.540%
Independien… Goals
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Atlético Na… Goals
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.18
Independiente …
vs
0.46
Atlético Nacio…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Independien…
-2
Gap
#2
Atlético Na…
WR 45% 31 pts WR 55% 44 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Independiente M…20947251931
Atlético Nacion…221282361744
Independiente … 8.0%
Dec 13 Indepen… v Atlétic… 0-0
Dec 08 Indepen… v Junior 2-1
Dec 04 Indepen… v Atlétic… 2-1
Dec 02 Indepen… v America… 1-1
Nov 27 Indepen… v America… 2-1
Nov 23 Indepen… v Atlétic… 0-0
Nov 20 Indepen… v Junior 1-0
Nov 14 Indepen… v America… 3-0
Nov 11 Indepen… v Envigado 1-1
Nov 07 Indepen… v Deporti… 1-4
Atlético Nacio… 8.0%
Dec 13 Atlétic… v Indepen… 0-0
Dec 08 Atlétic… v America… 3-2
Dec 04 Atlétic… v Indepen… 2-1
Nov 30 Atlétic… v Junior 2-1
Nov 27 Atlétic… v Junior 1-1
Nov 23 Atlétic… v Indepen… 0-0
Nov 21 Atlétic… v America… 1-0
Nov 16 Atlétic… v America… 2-2
Nov 14 Atlétic… v Junior 2-1
Nov 08 Atlétic… v Rionegr… 2-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Dec 13, 2025 Atlético Naci… 0-0 Independiente…
Dec 04, 2025 Atlético Naci… 2-1 Independiente…
Nov 23, 2025 Independiente… 0-0 Atlético Naci…
Oct 26, 2025 Atlético Naci… 5-2 Independiente…
Sep 08, 2025 Independiente… 3-3 Atlético Naci…
May 04, 2025 Independiente… 1-1 Atlético Naci…
Mar 22, 2025 Atlético Naci… 1-1 Independiente…
Nov 18, 2024 Independiente… 1-0 Atlético Naci…
Nov 11, 2024 Atlético Naci… 1-1 Independiente…
Nov 01, 2024 Atlético Naci… 2-0 Independiente…
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.