AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Feb 17, 2026

Al Hilal Omdurman

Home
VS
16:00

APR

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Al Hilal Omdurman Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
APR Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.49 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.9
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Hilal Omdurman Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
APR Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (9%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
Al Hilal Omdurman Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Al Hilal … vs Mamelodi … 2-1
Jan 23 Al Hilal … vs Mamelodi … 2-2
Jan 17 Al Hilal … vs Rayon Spo… 4-0
Jan 14 Al Hilal … vs Muhanga 3-0
Jan 11 Al Hilal … vs Amagaju 8-0
Jan 08 Al Hilal … vs Etincelles 2-0
Jan 08 Al Hilal … vs Kober 2-2
Jan 05 Al Hilal … vs Musanze 0-1
Jan 02 Al Hilal … vs Gicumbi 1-3
Dec 29 Al Hilal … vs AS Kigali 4-2
APR Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 APR vs Gasogi Un… 0-3
Jan 18 APR vs Al Merrei… 0-0
Jan 14 APR vs Amagaju 0-1
Jan 03 APR vs Bugesera 2-1
Dec 26 APR vs Muhanga 1-2
Dec 20 APR vs Gasogi Un… 2-0
Dec 13 APR vs Gorilla 0-0
Dec 06 APR vs Police 0-0
Dec 02 APR vs Etincelles 2-1
Nov 28 APR vs AS Kigali 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al Hilal Omdurman in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • APR in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 13, 2025 APR 1 - 3 Al Hilal Omdurman CECAFA Club Cup
Jul 19, 2024 APR 0 - 0 Al Hilal Omdurman CECAFA Club Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al Hilal Omdurman to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al Hilal Omdurman Power 0
APR Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Al Hilal Omdurman Position

+2

Position Gap

3

APR Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.