Liga Pro · Apr 27, 2024 20:30
Orense SC
PWR 43
Libertad AsunciĂłn
PWR 42
PWR 42
1 - 1
FT
Orense SC
PWR 43
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (12%)
1-0 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
3-0 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 5.7% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack43
Defense52
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.4
Attack36
Defense57
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.2
Libertad Asunc… Form
LLWDL
DOWN
Orense SC Form
WLDLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.555%
BTTS48%
Under 2.545%
Libertad As… Goals
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Orense SC Goals
0
47%
1
36%
2
14%
3
3%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Libertad Asunc…vs
0.76
Orense SCDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum87%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Libertad As…-2
Gap#9
Orense SC
WR 29% 77 pts
WR 34% 88 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertad Asunci… | 63 | 18 | 23 | 22 | 77 | 87 | 77 |
| Orense SC | 67 | 23 | 19 | 25 | 69 | 83 | 88 |
Libertad Asunc…
6.0%
| Apr 14 | Liberta… v FC Barc… | 0-3 |
| Apr 07 | Liberta… v Indepen… | 3-0 |
| Dec 02 | Liberta… v Cumbayá | 3-1 |
| Nov 26 | Liberta… v Tecnico… | 1-1 |
| Nov 12 | Liberta… v LDU Qui… | 0-2 |
| Oct 21 | Liberta… v FC Barc… | 1-0 |
| Oct 01 | Liberta… v Orense … | 3-0 |
| Sep 17 | Liberta… v Indepen… | 2-0 |
| Jun 03 | Liberta… v LDU Qui… | 4-2 |
| May 13 | Liberta… v FC Barc… | 2-2 |
Orense SC
8.0%
| Apr 19 | Orense … v LDU Qui… | 1-0 |
| Mar 31 | Orense … v Univers… | 5-1 |
| Mar 16 | Orense … v FC Barc… | 0-0 |
| Dec 03 | Orense … v Aucas | 1-2 |
| Nov 25 | Orense … v Indepen… | 2-2 |
| Oct 29 | Orense … v FC Barc… | 2-3 |
| Oct 01 | Orense … v Liberta… | 3-0 |
| Sep 16 | Orense … v Univers… | 1-2 |
| May 20 | Orense … v FC Barc… | 2-0 |
| Apr 30 | Orense … v Liberta… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 01, 2023 | Orense SC | 3-0 | Libertad Asun… |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Libertad Asun… | 0-0 | Orense SC |
Key Factors
Libertad AsunciĂłn struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.