Liga Pro · Oct 01, 2023 20:30

Orense SC
PWR 43
3 - 0
FT
Libertad AsunciĂłn
PWR 42
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (53% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
53%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk49%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 6% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 6%, pos gap 2
Power & Form
Attack36
Defense57
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.2
Attack43
Defense52
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.4
Orense SC Form LLDDL
DOWN
Libertad Asunc… Form LLDDD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS44%
Under 2.538%
Orense SC Goals
0
5%
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Libertad As… Goals
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.03
Orense SC
vs
0.63
Libertad Asunc…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Orense SC
+2
Gap
#11
Libertad As…
WR 34% 88 pts WR 29% 77 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Orense SC67231925698388
Libertad Asunci…63182322778777
Orense SC 4.0%
Sep 16 Orense … v Univers… 1-2
May 20 Orense … v FC Barc… 2-0
Apr 30 Orense … v Liberta… 0-0
Apr 18 Orense … v Univers… 1-1
Sep 18 Orense … v Univers… 2-0
Aug 20 Orense … v FC Barc… 1-2
May 01 Orense … v Univers… 1-0
Apr 10 Orense … v FC Barc… 2-0
Nov 06 Orense … v Univers… 1-0
Aug 15 Orense … v FC Barc… 1-0
Libertad Asunc… 6.0%
Sep 17 Liberta… v Indepen… 2-0
Jun 03 Liberta… v LDU Qui… 4-2
May 13 Liberta… v FC Barc… 2-2
Apr 30 Liberta… v Orense … 0-0
Apr 15 Liberta… v Indepen… 0-0
Head-to-Head (1)
Apr 30, 2023 Libertad Asun… 0-0 Orense SC
Key Factors
Orense SC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.