AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First Division Apr 06, 2025

Pafos FC

Home
VS
15:00

Apoel Nicosia

Away
AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
Pafos FC Win
63.0%
Draw
21.4%
Apoel Nicosia Win
15.6%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.11 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.2
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Pafos FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Apoel Nicosia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (21%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Pafos FC Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 02 Pafos FC vs Paris FC 0-1
Mar 16 Pafos FC vs Apollon L… 1-2
Mar 09 Pafos FC vs Ethnikos … 0-0
Feb 24 Pafos FC vs Apoel Nic… 0-2
Feb 16 Pafos FC vs Apollon L… 1-0
Feb 08 Pafos FC vs Omonia Ar… 0-2
Jan 30 Pafos FC vs Apoel Nic… 1-1
Jan 19 Pafos FC vs Enosis 2-0
Jan 15 Pafos FC vs Paris FC 1-1
Jan 11 Pafos FC vs Paris FC 1-0
Apoel Nicosia Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 29 Apoel Nic… vs Apollon L… 1-1
Mar 15 Apoel Nic… vs Paris FC 1-0
Mar 08 Apoel Nic… vs Omonia Ni… 2-1
Mar 01 Apoel Nic… vs Paris FC 3-0
Feb 24 Apoel Nic… vs Pafos FC 0-2
Feb 08 Apoel Nic… vs Apollon L… 0-0
Feb 03 Apoel Nic… vs Anorthosis 2-2
Jan 30 Apoel Nic… vs Pafos FC 1-1
Jan 26 Apoel Nic… vs Omonia Ar… 7-0
Dec 15 Apoel Nic… vs Enosis 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Pafos FC in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Apoel Nicosia struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 24, 2025 Apoel Nicosia 0 - 2 Pafos FC First Division
Jan 30, 2025 Apoel Nicosia 1 - 1 Pafos FC Cup
Nov 23, 2024 Pafos FC 2 - 1 Apoel Nicosia First Division
Sep 25, 2024 Apoel Nicosia 1 - 0 Pafos FC Super Cup
Apr 14, 2024 Pafos FC 0 - 2 Apoel Nicosia First Division
Mar 03, 2024 Apoel Nicosia 1 - 0 Pafos FC First Division
Dec 17, 2023 Pafos FC 0 - 1 Apoel Nicosia First Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Pafos FC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Pafos FC Power 0
Apoel Nicosia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Pafos FC Position

+3

Position Gap

6

Apoel Nicosia Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.