AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First Division Apr 14, 2024

Pafos FC

Home
VS
14:00

Apoel Nicosia

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Pafos FC Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Apoel Nicosia Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 1.69 - 0.75
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.8
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Pafos FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Apoel Nicosia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (9%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
Pafos FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 10 Pafos FC vs Apollon L… 2-1
Apr 06 Pafos FC vs AEK Larna… 3-0
Mar 16 Pafos FC vs Paris FC 1-0
Mar 10 Pafos FC vs Anorthosis 2-3
Mar 03 Pafos FC vs Apoel Nic… 1-0
Feb 25 Pafos FC vs AEK Larna… 0-1
Feb 10 Pafos FC vs Ethnikos … 4-3
Feb 04 Pafos FC vs Anorthosis 2-2
Jan 31 Pafos FC vs Apollon L… 1-1
Jan 22 Pafos FC vs AEK Larna… 1-0
Apoel Nicosia Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 07 Apoel Nic… vs Anorthosis 0-2
Mar 16 Apoel Nic… vs Omonia Ni… 0-1
Mar 10 Apoel Nic… vs Paris FC 2-1
Mar 03 Apoel Nic… vs Pafos FC 1-0
Feb 25 Apoel Nic… vs Anorthosis 0-0
Feb 15 Apoel Nic… vs Paris FC 1-0
Jan 06 Apoel Nic… vs Anorthosis 1-0
Jan 02 Apoel Nic… vs Apollon L… 2-2
Dec 23 Apoel Nic… vs Omonia Ni… 3-0
Dec 17 Apoel Nic… vs Pafos FC 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Pafos FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Apoel Nicosia struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 03, 2024 Apoel Nicosia 1 - 0 Pafos FC First Division
Dec 17, 2023 Pafos FC 0 - 1 Apoel Nicosia First Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Pafos FC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Pafos FC Power 0
Apoel Nicosia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Pafos FC Position

+3

Position Gap

6

Apoel Nicosia Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.