AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First Division Mar 03, 2024

Apoel Nicosia

Home
VS
15:00

Pafos FC

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Apoel Nicosia Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Pafos FC Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.11 - 0.80
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.8
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Apoel Nicosia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Pafos FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Apoel Nicosia Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 25 Apoel Nic… vs Anorthosis 0-0
Feb 15 Apoel Nic… vs Paris FC 1-0
Jan 06 Apoel Nic… vs Anorthosis 1-0
Jan 02 Apoel Nic… vs Apollon L… 2-2
Dec 23 Apoel Nic… vs Omonia Ni… 3-0
Dec 17 Apoel Nic… vs Pafos FC 0-1
Nov 25 Apoel Nic… vs Paris FC 1-0
Sep 23 Apoel Nic… vs Anorthosis 1-1
Sep 17 Apoel Nic… vs Apollon L… 1-1
May 27 Apoel Nic… vs Paris FC 4-3
Pafos FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 25 Pafos FC vs AEK Larna… 0-1
Feb 10 Pafos FC vs Ethnikos … 4-3
Feb 04 Pafos FC vs Anorthosis 2-2
Jan 31 Pafos FC vs Apollon L… 1-1
Jan 22 Pafos FC vs AEK Larna… 1-0
Jan 18 Pafos FC vs Olympiako… 0-1
Jan 03 Pafos FC vs Paris FC 1-0
Dec 17 Pafos FC vs Apoel Nic… 0-1
Nov 11 Pafos FC vs Ethnikos … 1-4
Sep 17 Pafos FC vs Paris FC 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Apoel Nicosia in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 17, 2023 Pafos FC 0 - 1 Apoel Nicosia First Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Apoel Nicosia Power 0
Pafos FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Apoel Nicosia Position

-3

Position Gap

3

Pafos FC Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.