AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Jun 13, 2022

Murang'a SEAL

Home
VS
00:00

Mara Sugar

Away
AI Predictions 50.0% Confidence
Murang'a SEAL Win
50.0%
Draw
24.0%
Mara Sugar Win
26.0%
Home Win (50% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 1.41 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.7
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Murang'a SEAL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Mara Sugar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 0-0 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Murang'a SEAL Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 06 Murang'a … vs Mara Sugar 1-2
Feb 05 Murang'a … vs APS Bomet 1-2
Mara Sugar Form 7.5%
Date Match Result
May 22 Mara Sugar vs Shabana 1-2
Mar 06 Mara Sugar vs Murang'a … 1-2
Jan 21 Mara Sugar vs APS Bomet 0-1
Nov 07 Mara Sugar vs Shabana 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 06, 2022 Mara Sugar 1 - 2 Murang'a SEAL Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Murang'a SEAL to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Murang'a SEAL Power 0
Mara Sugar Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.