AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Süper Lig Jan 22, 2023

Antalyaspor

Home
VS
13:00

Fatih Karagümrük

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Antalyaspor Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Fatih Karagümrük Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 3.72 - 1.76
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 1.8 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Antalyaspor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Fatih Karagümrük Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 2-2 (4%) 3-0 (4%) 3-3 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Antalyaspor Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 21 Antalyasp… vs Galatasar… 2-1
Jan 19 Antalyasp… vs Gazişehir… 1-1
Jan 14 Antalyasp… vs Besiktas 1-2
Jan 03 Antalyasp… vs Rizespor 2-2
Dec 28 Antalyasp… vs Kocaelisp… 3-1
Dec 22 Antalyasp… vs BB Bodrum… 3-2
Dec 21 Antalyasp… vs Eyüpspor 3-2
Dec 20 Antalyasp… vs Ankaragücü 2-0
Dec 17 Antalyasp… vs Genclerbi… 2-1
Dec 16 Antalyasp… vs Fatih Kar… 2-3
Fatih Karagümrük Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 18 Fatih Kar… vs İstanbul … 2-2
Dec 16 Fatih Kar… vs Antalyasp… 2-3
Nov 06 Fatih Kar… vs Antalyasp… 4-2
Oct 28 Fatih Kar… vs Galatasar… 0-2
Sep 18 Fatih Kar… vs İstanbul … 0-0
Aug 07 Fatih Kar… vs Antalyasp… 2-4
May 22 Fatih Kar… vs Antalyasp… 0-1
May 07 Fatih Kar… vs Goztepe 3-1
Apr 02 Fatih Kar… vs Galatasar… 2-0
Feb 26 Fatih Kar… vs İstanbul … 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 16, 2022 Antalyaspor 2 - 3 Fatih Karagümrük Friendlies Clu…
Nov 06, 2022 Antalyaspor 4 - 2 Fatih Karagümrük Süper Lig
Aug 07, 2022 Fatih Karagümrük 2 - 4 Antalyaspor Süper Lig
May 22, 2022 Fatih Karagümrük 0 - 1 Antalyaspor Süper Lig
Feb 13, 2022 Antalyaspor 3 - 0 Fatih Karagümrük Süper Lig
Dec 26, 2021 Antalyaspor 1 - 1 Fatih Karagümrük Süper Lig
Sep 21, 2021 Fatih Karagümrük 0 - 0 Antalyaspor Süper Lig
Apr 28, 2021 Fatih Karagümrük 2 - 2 Antalyaspor Süper Lig
Feb 27, 2021 Fatih Karagümrük 2 - 0 Antalyaspor Süper Lig
Jan 06, 2021 Antalyaspor 3 - 1 Fatih Karagümrük Süper Lig
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Antalyaspor to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Antalyaspor Power 0
Fatih Karagümrük Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Antalyaspor Position

+5

Position Gap

18

Fatih Karagümrük Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.