AI Match Insights

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FA Women's Cup Dec 08, 2024

Birmingham City Women

Home
VS
14:00

Durham Women

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Birmingham City Women Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Durham Women Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 2.61 - 1.06
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 1.1
Score Prediction Analysis
Birmingham City Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Durham Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
Birmingham City Women Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 03 Birmingha… vs Newcastle… 0-2
Sep 29 Birmingha… vs Durham Wo… 1-0
Sep 22 Birmingha… vs Portsmout… 4-0
Apr 28 Birmingha… vs Durham Wo… 1-0
Apr 14 Birmingha… vs Crystal P… 1-0
Nov 19 Birmingha… vs Durham Wo… 3-1
Sep 03 Birmingha… vs Crystal P… 1-2
Apr 23 Birmingha… vs Durham Wo… 1-2
Apr 19 Birmingha… vs Durham Wo… 1-0
Apr 16 Birmingha… vs Crystal P… 2-4
Durham Women Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 10 Durham Wo… vs Southampt… 1-1
Oct 20 Durham Wo… vs Sunderlan… 1-2
Oct 06 Durham Wo… vs Newcastle… 0-1
Sep 29 Durham Wo… vs Birmingha… 1-0
Sep 14 Durham Wo… vs Portsmout… 0-3
Apr 28 Durham Wo… vs Birmingha… 1-0
Mar 31 Durham Wo… vs Crystal P… 1-5
Mar 24 Durham Wo… vs Sunderlan… 5-3
Dec 17 Durham Wo… vs Southampt… 1-0
Nov 19 Durham Wo… vs Birmingha… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Durham Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Birmingham City Women struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 29, 2024 Durham Women 1 - 0 Birmingham City Wom… Women's Champi…
Apr 28, 2024 Durham Women 1 - 0 Birmingham City Wom… Women's Champi…
Nov 19, 2023 Birmingham City Wom… 3 - 1 Durham Women Women's Champi…
Apr 23, 2023 Durham Women 1 - 2 Birmingham City Wom… Women's Champi…
Apr 19, 2023 Birmingham City Wom… 1 - 0 Durham Women Women's Champi…
Feb 27, 2022 Durham Women 0 - 1 Birmingham City Wom… FA Women's Cup
Final Verdict

MASTER: Birmingham City Women to win (76% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 76% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_15+ SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Birmingham City Women Power 54
Durham Women Power 31
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.