Piala Presiden · Jul 26, 2024 08:30
Persepam Madura Utd
PWR 24
Arema FC
PWR 94
Persepam Madura Utd
PWR 24
0 - 5
FT
Arema FC
PWR 94
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Arema FC to win (77% confidence)
Prediction
0-2
Score
77%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
1-0 (9%)
1-1 (9%)
3-0 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-5
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_FORM_STRONGAWAY_SCORINGHOME_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.0%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack26
Defense21
Goals/G0.8
Conc/G2.3
Attack82
Defense100
Goals/G2.3
Conc/G0.0
Persepam Madur… Form
LWWDW
STABLE
Arema FC Form
DWDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.558%
BTTS55%
Under 2.542%
Persepam Ma… Goals
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Arema FC Goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Persepam Madur…vs
1.00
Arema FCDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Persepam Ma…-7
Gap#2
Arema FC
WR 25% 3 pts
WR 100% 9 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Persepam Madura… | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| Arema FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
Persepam Madur…
14.0%
| Jul 21 | Persepa… v Persija… | 1-2 |
| May 19 | Persepa… v Pusaman… | 2-3 |
| May 15 | Persepa… v Pusaman… | 1-0 |
| Apr 30 | Persepa… v Arema FC | 0-0 |
| Apr 17 | Persepa… v Pusaman… | 0-4 |
| Mar 13 | Persepa… v Perseba… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Persepa… v Persija… | 0-1 |
| Oct 28 | Persepa… v Arema FC | 1-1 |
| Oct 01 | Persepa… v Pusaman… | 1-2 |
| Sep 17 | Persepa… v Perseba… | 3-0 |
Arema FC
8.0%
| Jul 24 | Arema FC v Persija… | 2-2 |
| Jul 21 | Arema FC v Bali Un… | 0-1 |
| Apr 30 | Arema FC v Persepa… | 0-0 |
| Mar 27 | Arema FC v Perseba… | 0-1 |
| Mar 13 | Arema FC v Persita | 4-3 |
| Feb 26 | Arema FC v Persija… | 3-2 |
| Dec 04 | Arema FC v Bali Un… | 3-2 |
| Nov 27 | Arema FC v Persik … | 0-1 |
| Nov 02 | Arema FC v Dewa Un… | 2-1 |
| Oct 28 | Arema FC v Persepa… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Apr 30, 2024 | Persepam Madu… | 0-0 | Arema FC |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Arema FC | 1-1 | Persepam Madu… |
| Apr 07, 2023 | Persepam Madu… | 1-1 | Arema FC |
| Dec 20, 2022 | Arema FC | 0-2 | Persepam Madu… |
| Feb 18, 2022 | Arema FC | 1-0 | Persepam Madu… |
| Nov 01, 2021 | Persepam Madu… | 1-2 | Arema FC |
Key Factors
Persepam Madura Utd in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.