AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primeira Liga Jan 03, 2025

Guimaraes

Home
VS
20:15

Sporting CP

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Guimaraes Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Sporting CP Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.48 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.2
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Guimaraes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Sporting CP Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 3-0 (17%) 1-0 (17%) 0-0 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Guimaraes Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 29 Guimaraes vs Farense 2-2
Dec 23 Guimaraes vs Nacional 2-2
Dec 23 Guimaraes vs Nacional 2-2
Dec 16 Guimaraes vs Rio Ave FC 2-2
Dec 16 Guimaraes vs Rio Ave FC 2-2
Dec 07 Guimaraes vs Benfica 1-0
Dec 02 Guimaraes vs GIL Vicen… 4-0
Dec 02 Guimaraes vs GIL Vicen… 4-0
Nov 23 Guimaraes vs União de … 2-0
Nov 10 Guimaraes vs Santa Cla… 1-0
Sporting CP Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 29 Sporting … vs Benfica 1-0
Dec 22 Sporting … vs GIL Vicen… 0-0
Dec 18 Sporting … vs Santa Cla… 2-1
Dec 10 Sporting … vs Cercle Br… 2-1
Nov 30 Sporting … vs Santa Cla… 0-1
Nov 22 Sporting … vs Amarante 6-0
Nov 01 Sporting … vs Estrela d… 5-1
Oct 29 Sporting … vs Nacional 3-1
Oct 05 Sporting … vs Casa Pia … 2-0
Sep 22 Sporting … vs AVS 3-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 21, 2024 Sporting CP 3 - 0 Guimaraes Primeira Liga
Dec 09, 2023 Guimaraes 3 - 2 Sporting CP Primeira Liga
Apr 24, 2023 Guimaraes 0 - 2 Sporting CP Primeira Liga
Nov 05, 2022 Sporting CP 3 - 0 Guimaraes Primeira Liga
Mar 19, 2022 Guimaraes 1 - 3 Sporting CP Primeira Liga
Oct 30, 2021 Sporting CP 1 - 0 Guimaraes Primeira Liga
Mar 20, 2021 Sporting CP 1 - 0 Guimaraes Primeira Liga
Nov 07, 2020 Guimaraes 0 - 4 Sporting CP Primeira Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Guimaraes Power 0
Sporting CP Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Guimaraes Position

-7

Position Gap

2

Sporting CP Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 80%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.