AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A May 28, 2023

Bologna

Home
VS
13:00

Napoli

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Bologna Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Napoli Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.78 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bologna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Napoli Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (38%) 1-0 (29%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 8%
Under 2.5 Goals 92%
Bologna Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 08 Bologna vs Sassuolo 1-1
Apr 30 Bologna vs Juventus 1-1
Apr 21 Bologna vs Verona 2-1
Apr 15 Bologna vs AC Milan 1-1
Apr 08 Bologna vs Atalanta 0-2
Apr 02 Bologna vs Udinese 3-0
Mar 11 Bologna vs Lazio 0-0
Feb 26 Bologna vs Inter 1-0
Feb 05 Bologna vs Fiorentina 1-2
Jan 19 Bologna vs Lazio 1-0
Napoli Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
May 21 Napoli vs Inter 3-1
May 07 Napoli vs Fiorentina 1-0
May 04 Napoli vs Udinese 1-1
Apr 23 Napoli vs Juventus 0-1
Apr 18 Napoli vs AC Milan 1-1
Apr 15 Napoli vs Verona 0-0
Apr 12 Napoli vs AC Milan 1-0
Apr 02 Napoli vs AC Milan 0-4
Mar 11 Napoli vs Atalanta 2-0
Mar 03 Napoli vs Lazio 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Napoli in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 16, 2022 Napoli 3 - 2 Bologna Serie A
Jan 17, 2022 Bologna 0 - 2 Napoli Serie A
Oct 28, 2021 Napoli 3 - 0 Bologna Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bologna Power 36
Napoli Power 40
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Bologna Position

-7

Position Gap

3

Napoli Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.