Serie A · Oct 16, 2022 16:00
Napoli
PWR 40
Bologna
PWR 36
Napoli
PWR 40
3 - 2
FT
Bologna
PWR 36
63% H
21% D
16% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Napoli to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (10%)
2-0 (7%)
3-1 (6%)
2-1 (4%)
1-0 (3%)
1-1 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-2
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy56%
POINTS_GAPHOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack43
Defense73
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G0.9
Attack42
Defense61
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.3
Napoli Form
WWWDW
UP
Bologna Form
LWLDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS42%
Under 2.540%
Napoli Goals
0
1%
1
6%
2
13%
3
18%
4
19%
Bologna Goals
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.31
Napolivs
0.56
BolognaDecision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings74%
Market50%
League Standings
#3
Napoli+7
Gap#10
Bologna
WR 73% 49 pts
WR 33% 30 pts
Napoli
18.0%
| Oct 09 | Napoli v Cremone… | 1-4 |
| Sep 18 | Napoli v AC Milan | 1-2 |
| Sep 03 | Napoli v Lazio | 1-2 |
| Aug 28 | Napoli v Fiorent… | 0-0 |
| Aug 15 | Napoli v Verona | 2-5 |
| May 15 | Napoli v Genoa | 3-0 |
| Apr 30 | Napoli v Sassuolo | 6-1 |
| Apr 18 | Napoli v AS Roma | 1-1 |
| Apr 10 | Napoli v Fiorent… | 2-3 |
| Apr 03 | Napoli v Atalanta | 1-3 |
Bologna
6.0%
| Oct 02 | Bologna v Juventus | 3-0 |
| Sep 11 | Bologna v Fiorent… | 2-1 |
| Aug 27 | Bologna v AC Milan | 2-0 |
| Aug 21 | Bologna v Verona | 1-1 |
| Aug 14 | Bologna v Lazio | 2-1 |
| May 21 | Bologna v Genoa | 0-1 |
| May 15 | Bologna v Sassuolo | 1-3 |
| Apr 27 | Bologna v Inter | 2-1 |
| Apr 24 | Bologna v Udinese | 2-2 |
| Apr 16 | Bologna v Juventus | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jan 17, 2022 | Bologna | 0-2 | Napoli |
| Oct 28, 2021 | Napoli | 3-0 | Bologna |
Key Factors
Napoli in strong form (4W in last 5)
Bologna struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.