Predictions Match Details
Taça de Portugal · Jan 14, 2026 20:45

FC Porto
PWR 85
1 - 0
FT

Benfica
PWR 81
55% H 23% D 22% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: FC Porto to win (79% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
79%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-2 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 1-3 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 2-3 (6%) 2-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack86
Defense75
Goals/G2.5
Conc/G0.7
Attack88
Defense79
Goals/G2.5
Conc/G0.6
FC Porto Form WWWWW
UP
Benfica Form WWLWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.575%
BTTS77%
Under 2.525%
FC Porto Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Benfica Goals
0
8%
1
20%
2
26%
3
22%
4
14%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
FC Porto
vs
2.53
Benfica
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum40%
Standings50%
Market48%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
FC Porto
+1
Gap
#2
Benfica
WR 94% 48 pts WR 78% 44 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
FC Porto171601421248
Benfica181422451144
FC Porto 20.0%
Jan 04 FC Porto v Santa C… 0-1
Dec 29 FC Porto v AVS 2-0
Dec 22 FC Porto v Alverca 0-3
Dec 18 FC Porto v Famalic… 4-1
Dec 15 FC Porto v Estrela… 3-1
Dec 11 FC Porto v Malmö FF 2-1
Dec 07 FC Porto v Tondela 0-2
Dec 06 FC Porto v Rubin 1-0
Dec 04 FC Porto v Guimara… 1-3
Nov 30 FC Porto v Lokomot… 1-3
Benfica 14.0%
Jan 13 Benfica v Newcast… 0-5
Jan 07 Benfica v Chelsea… 2-6
Jan 07 Benfica v SC Braga 1-3
Jan 03 Benfica v Estoril 3-1
Dec 28 Benfica v SC Braga 2-2
Dec 22 Benfica v Famalic… 1-0
Dec 17 Benfica v Paris S… 0-1
Dec 17 Benfica v Farense 0-2
Dec 14 Benfica v Moreire… 0-4
Dec 10 Benfica v Barcelo… 3-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Oct 05, 2025 FC Porto 0-0 Benfica
May 17, 2025 FC Porto 1-4 Benfica
Apr 06, 2025 FC Porto 1-4 Benfica
Jan 06, 2025 Benfica 2-1 FC Porto
Nov 10, 2024 Benfica 4-1 FC Porto
Nov 10, 2024 Benfica 4-1 FC Porto
May 17, 2024 Benfica 5-2 FC Porto
Mar 03, 2024 FC Porto 5-0 Benfica
Mar 03, 2024 FC Porto 5-0 Benfica
Jan 14, 2024 FC Porto 0-3 Benfica
Key Factors
FC Porto in strong form (5W in last 5)
Benfica in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.