AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Birinci Dəstə May 16, 2025

Difai Ağsu

Home
VS
13:00

Cəbrayıl

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Difai Ağsu Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Cəbrayıl Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.43 - 0.67
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.7
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Difai Ağsu Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Cəbrayıl Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Difai Ağsu Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 01 Difai Ağsu vs Energetik 1-4
Apr 17 Difai Ağsu vs Qabala 1-0
Mar 27 Difai Ağsu vs MOIK 1-3
Mar 13 Difai Ağsu vs Cəbrayıl 0-4
Feb 28 Difai Ağsu vs Energetik 1-0
Feb 14 Difai Ağsu vs Qabala 1-1
Dec 24 Difai Ağsu vs MOIK 0-1
Nov 28 Difai Ağsu vs Energetik 3-3
Oct 30 Difai Ağsu vs Safa Baku 2-3
Oct 25 Difai Ağsu vs Qabala 3-1
Cəbrayıl Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 17 Cəbrayıl vs Energetik 2-0
Apr 10 Cəbrayıl vs MOIK 2-1
Mar 13 Cəbrayıl vs Difai Ağsu 0-4
Feb 13 Cəbrayıl vs Energetik 0-0
Feb 06 Cəbrayıl vs MOIK 2-1
Oct 24 Cəbrayıl vs Energetik 3-0
Oct 18 Cəbrayıl vs MOIK 0-1
Sep 12 Cəbrayıl vs Difai Ağsu 0-1
Nov 28 Cəbrayıl vs MOIK 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Difai Ağsu in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Cəbrayıl struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 13, 2025 Cəbrayıl 0 - 4 Difai Ağsu Birinci Dəstə
Sep 12, 2024 Difai Ağsu 0 - 1 Cəbrayıl Birinci Dəstə
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Difai Ağsu Power 0
Cəbrayıl Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Difai Ağsu Position

-2

Position Gap

7

Cəbrayıl Position
Home Win Rate: 17%
Away Win Rate: 14%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.