AI Match Insights
Thai League 1 Jan 17, 2026
Ratchaburi
HomeVS
12:30
Muangthong United
AwayAI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Ratchaburi Win
Draw
Muangthong United Win
Home Win
(53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
88%
Market
50%
Combined: 54%
Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.23 - 0.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.3
Position gap: 12 places
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ratchaburi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Muangthong United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%)
0-0 (22%)
2-0 (17%)
1-1 (8%)
3-0 (7%)
0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
19%
Under 2.5 Goals
81%
Ratchaburi Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 14 | Ratchaburi vs Sisaket U… | 1-3 |
| Jan 14 | Ratchaburi vs Bangkok U… | 3-1 |
| Jan 11 | Ratchaburi vs Chonburi … | 1-0 |
| Jan 10 | Ratchaburi vs Bangkok G… | 1-1 |
| Dec 28 | Ratchaburi vs Pattani | 2-0 |
| Dec 24 | Ratchaburi vs Chiangrai… | 1-2 |
| Dec 24 | Ratchaburi vs Bangkok G… | 2-1 |
| Dec 20 | Ratchaburi vs Police Te… | 0-0 |
| Dec 16 | Ratchaburi vs Rayong FC | 2-4 |
| Dec 12 | Ratchaburi vs Chonburi … | 1-1 |
Muangthong United Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11 | Muangthon… vs Ayutthaya… | 0-1 |
| Dec 20 | Muangthon… vs Lamphun W… | 0-1 |
| Dec 14 | Muangthon… vs Bangkok G… | 3-0 |
| Dec 06 | Muangthon… vs Chonburi … | 2-3 |
| Nov 29 | Muangthon… vs Chiangrai… | 0-2 |
| Nov 22 | Muangthon… vs Buriram U… | 0-5 |
| Nov 08 | Muangthon… vs Uthai Tha… | 3-1 |
| Nov 02 | Muangthon… vs Prachuap | 1-4 |
| Oct 24 | Muangthon… vs Port FC | 1-0 |
| Oct 18 | Muangthon… vs Bangkok G… | 0-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Muangthong United struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | Muangthong United | 1 - 3 | Ratchaburi | Thai League 1 |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Muangthong United | 2 - 0 | Ratchaburi | Thai League 1 |
| May 10, 2025 | Muangthong United | 3 - 2 | Ratchaburi | FA Cup |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Ratchaburi | 1 - 0 | Muangthong United | Thai League 1 |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Muangthong United | 2 - 0 | Ratchaburi | Thai League 1 |
| May 11, 2024 | Ratchaburi | 1 - 2 | Muangthong United | Thai League 1 |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Muangthong United | 1 - 1 | Ratchaburi | Thai League 1 |
| May 12, 2023 | Muangthong United | 4 - 0 | Ratchaburi | Thai League 1 |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Ratchaburi | 1 - 0 | Muangthong United | Thai League 1 |
| Jan 26, 2022 | Ratchaburi | 0 - 1 | Muangthong United | Thai League 1 |
Final Verdict
PRO: Ratchaburi to win (65% confidence)
PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0
65% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Ratchaburi Power
0
Muangthong United Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
2
Ratchaburi Position+12
Position Gap14
Muangthong United Position
Home Win Rate: 63%
Away Win Rate: 16%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.