AI Match Insights
Australia Cup Aug 24, 2025
Newcastle Jets
HomeVS
06:00
Macarthur FC
AwayAI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Newcastle Jets Win
Draw
Macarthur FC Win
Home Win
(39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-3
Decision Justification
Player Score
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 36%
Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 1.84 - 3.01
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Newcastle Jets Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Macarthur FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-3 (7%)
1-2 (7%)
2-3 (6%)
2-2 (6%)
1-1 (4%)
2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
77%
Under 2.5 Goals
23%
Newcastle Jets Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 09 | Newcastle… vs Brisbane … | 1-3 |
| May 04 | Newcastle… vs Melbourne… | 1-1 |
| Apr 26 | Newcastle… vs Western S… | 0-1 |
| Apr 20 | Newcastle… vs Sydney | 3-2 |
| Apr 12 | Newcastle… vs Central C… | 6-0 |
| Apr 06 | Newcastle… vs Wellingto… | 1-2 |
| Mar 28 | Newcastle… vs Macarthur… | 3-3 |
| Mar 16 | Newcastle… vs Western U… | 2-6 |
| Mar 12 | Newcastle… vs Melbourne… | 0-1 |
| Mar 09 | Newcastle… vs Auckland | 1-1 |
Macarthur FC Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 29 | Macarthur… vs SD Raiders | 0-5 |
| May 03 | Macarthur… vs Western S… | 1-3 |
| Apr 25 | Macarthur… vs Melbourne… | 1-2 |
| Apr 20 | Macarthur… vs Central C… | 2-2 |
| Apr 04 | Macarthur… vs Brisbane … | 1-5 |
| Mar 28 | Macarthur… vs Newcastle… | 3-3 |
| Mar 14 | Macarthur… vs Adelaide … | 4-5 |
| Mar 07 | Macarthur… vs Melbourne… | 2-0 |
| Mar 01 | Macarthur… vs Sydney | 0-2 |
| Feb 16 | Macarthur… vs Western S… | 2-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Newcastle Jets struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | Macarthur FC | 3 - 3 | Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Newcastle Jets | 1 - 3 | Macarthur FC | A-League |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Macarthur FC | 1 - 2 | Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Newcastle Jets | 3 - 4 | Macarthur FC | Australia Cup |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Newcastle Jets | 2 - 2 | Macarthur FC | A-League |
| Jan 05, 2024 | Macarthur FC | 1 - 1 | Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Apr 14, 2023 | Newcastle Jets | 2 - 1 | Macarthur FC | A-League |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Macarthur FC | 0 - 1 | Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Jan 08, 2023 | Macarthur FC | 2 - 0 | Newcastle Jets | A-League |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Newcastle Jets to win (30% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Newcastle Jets Power
0
Macarthur FC Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.