AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Oct 25, 2024

Macarthur FC

Home
VS
08:35

Newcastle Jets

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Macarthur FC Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Newcastle Jets Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.90 - 1.00
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Macarthur FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Newcastle Jets Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (15%) 0-1 (15%) 1-0 (13%) 1-1 (13%) 0-2 (7%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
Macarthur FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 20 Macarthur… vs Perth Glo… 6-1
Sep 29 Macarthur… vs Melbourne… 0-1
Aug 25 Macarthur… vs Newcastle… 3-4
May 04 Macarthur… vs Sydney 4-0
Apr 27 Macarthur… vs Wellingto… 3-0
Apr 20 Macarthur… vs Sydney 1-0
Apr 12 Macarthur… vs Adelaide … 1-2
Apr 06 Macarthur… vs Western U… 4-2
Apr 01 Macarthur… vs Western S… 1-3
Mar 16 Macarthur… vs Brisbane … 1-2
Newcastle Jets Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 19 Newcastle… vs Melbourne… 0-1
Sep 17 Newcastle… vs Wellingto… 0-1
Aug 25 Newcastle… vs Macarthur… 3-4
Apr 27 Newcastle… vs Central C… 1-3
Apr 19 Newcastle… vs Wellingto… 1-1
Apr 13 Newcastle… vs Brisbane … 0-2
Apr 07 Newcastle… vs Sydney 3-1
Mar 30 Newcastle… vs Melbourne… 0-0
Mar 15 Newcastle… vs Adelaide … 0-1
Mar 09 Newcastle… vs Perth Glo… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Macarthur FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Newcastle Jets struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 25, 2024 Newcastle Jets 3 - 4 Macarthur FC Australia Cup
Feb 25, 2024 Newcastle Jets 2 - 2 Macarthur FC A-League
Jan 05, 2024 Macarthur FC 1 - 1 Newcastle Jets A-League
Apr 14, 2023 Newcastle Jets 2 - 1 Macarthur FC A-League
Feb 18, 2023 Macarthur FC 0 - 1 Newcastle Jets A-League
Jan 08, 2023 Macarthur FC 2 - 0 Newcastle Jets A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Macarthur FC Power 0
Newcastle Jets Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Macarthur FC Position

-3

Position Gap

1

Newcastle Jets Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 71%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.