Australia Cup · Aug 25, 2024 05:00

Newcastle Jets
PWR 49
3 - 4
FT
Macarthur FC
PWR 71
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Macarthur FC to win (78% confidence)
Prediction
1-2
Score
78%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-4
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
HOME_SCORING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Weak home team = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack93
Defense18
Goals/G2.7
Conc/G2.3
Attack88
Defense59
Goals/G2.5
Conc/G1.2
Newcastle Jets Form LDWWD
STABLE
Macarthur FC Form LLWWL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.555%
BTTS56%
Under 2.545%
Newcastle J… Goals
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Macarthur FC Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Newcastle Jets
vs
1.08
Macarthur FC
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum72%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Newcastle J…
-5
Gap
#1
Macarthur FC
WR 33% 3 pts WR 67% 12 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Newcastle Jets3102873
Macarthur FC640215712
Newcastle Jets 12.0%
Apr 27 Newcast… v Central… 1-3
Apr 19 Newcast… v Welling… 1-1
Apr 13 Newcast… v Brisban… 0-2
Apr 07 Newcast… v Sydney 3-1
Mar 30 Newcast… v Melbour… 0-0
Mar 15 Newcast… v Adelaid… 0-1
Mar 09 Newcast… v Perth G… 2-2
Feb 25 Newcast… v Macarth… 2-2
Feb 11 Newcast… v Western… 3-3
Jan 27 Newcast… v Welling… 1-2
Macarthur FC 8.0%
May 04 Macarth… v Sydney 4-0
Apr 27 Macarth… v Welling… 3-0
Apr 20 Macarth… v Sydney 1-0
Apr 12 Macarth… v Adelaid… 1-2
Apr 06 Macarth… v Western… 4-2
Apr 01 Macarth… v Western… 1-3
Mar 16 Macarth… v Brisban… 1-2
Mar 10 Macarth… v Central… 0-3
Mar 01 Macarth… v Melbour… 2-0
Feb 25 Macarth… v Newcast… 2-2
Head-to-Head (5)
Feb 25, 2024 Newcastle Jets 2-2 Macarthur FC
Jan 05, 2024 Macarthur FC 1-1 Newcastle Jets
Apr 14, 2023 Newcastle Jets 2-1 Macarthur FC
Feb 18, 2023 Macarthur FC 0-1 Newcastle Jets
Jan 08, 2023 Macarthur FC 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Key Factors
Macarthur FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.