AI Match Insights
A-League Feb 25, 2024
Newcastle Jets
HomeVS
06:00
Macarthur FC
AwayAI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Newcastle Jets Win
Draw
Macarthur FC Win
Home Win
(39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-2
Decision Justification
Player Score
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
58%
Market
50%
Combined: 42%
Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 2.30 - 2.06
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Newcastle Jets Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Macarthur FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
1-2 (6%)
1-1 (6%)
3-2 (5%)
3-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
79%
Over 2.5 Goals
76%
Under 2.5 Goals
24%
Newcastle Jets Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11 | Newcastle… vs Western S… | 3-3 |
| Jan 27 | Newcastle… vs Wellingto… | 1-2 |
| Jan 23 | Newcastle… vs Brisbane … | 3-1 |
| Jan 19 | Newcastle… vs Sydney | 4-0 |
| Jan 14 | Newcastle… vs Brisbane … | 3-2 |
| Jan 05 | Newcastle… vs Macarthur… | 1-1 |
| Dec 09 | Newcastle… vs Wellingto… | 0-3 |
| Dec 03 | Newcastle… vs Melbourne… | 0-2 |
| Nov 05 | Newcastle… vs Western S… | 2-2 |
| Aug 14 | Newcastle… vs Brisbane … | 2-3 |
Macarthur FC Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22 | Macarthur… vs Central C… | 2-3 |
| Feb 18 | Macarthur… vs Wellingto… | 1-2 |
| Feb 10 | Macarthur… vs Melbourne… | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | Macarthur… vs Western S… | 4-3 |
| Jan 28 | Macarthur… vs Perth Glo… | 2-2 |
| Jan 18 | Macarthur… vs Brisbane … | 1-3 |
| Jan 08 | Macarthur… vs Adelaide … | 1-1 |
| Jan 05 | Macarthur… vs Newcastle… | 1-1 |
| Jan 01 | Macarthur… vs Western S… | 3-1 |
| Dec 23 | Macarthur… vs Perth Glo… | 3-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Newcastle Jets struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 05, 2024 | Macarthur FC | 1 - 1 | Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Apr 14, 2023 | Newcastle Jets | 2 - 1 | Macarthur FC | A-League |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Macarthur FC | 0 - 1 | Newcastle Jets | A-League |
| Jan 08, 2023 | Macarthur FC | 2 - 0 | Newcastle Jets | A-League |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Newcastle Jets to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Newcastle Jets Power
0
Macarthur FC Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
1
Newcastle Jets Position+3
Position Gap4
Macarthur FC Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.