A-League · Apr 14, 2023 09:45

Newcastle Jets
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
Macarthur FC
PWR 35
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Newcastle Jets to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
HOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Newcastle Jets Form LDLLW
STABLE
Macarthur FC Form DLDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS48%
Under 2.541%
Newcastle J… Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Macarthur FC Goals
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Newcastle Jets
vs
0.67
Macarthur FC
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings57%
Market50%
League Standings
#2
Newcastle J…
+2
Gap
#4
Macarthur FC
WR 50% 27 pts WR 38% 25 pts
Newcastle Jets 6.0%
Apr 08 Newcast… v Brisban… 3-0
Apr 02 Newcast… v Melbour… 1-1
Mar 11 Newcast… v Adelaid… 2-4
Mar 04 Newcast… v Welling… 2-1
Feb 18 Newcast… v Macarth… 0-1
Jan 27 Newcast… v Brisban… 4-0
Jan 22 Newcast… v Western… 1-1
Jan 08 Newcast… v Macarth… 2-0
Jan 01 Newcast… v Sydney 0-2
Dec 27 Newcast… v Adelaid… 0-1
Macarthur FC 8.0%
Apr 08 Macarth… v Western… 2-2
Apr 01 Macarth… v Perth G… 2-1
Mar 19 Macarth… v Melbour… 1-1
Mar 11 Macarth… v Central… 4-1
Mar 05 Macarth… v Brisban… 3-2
Feb 25 Macarth… v Western… 4-0
Feb 18 Macarth… v Newcast… 0-1
Feb 12 Macarth… v Welling… 2-1
Feb 04 Macarth… v Melbour… 6-1
Jan 20 Macarth… v Adelaid… 1-0
Head-to-Head (2)
Feb 18, 2023 Macarthur FC 0-1 Newcastle Jets
Jan 08, 2023 Macarthur FC 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Key Factors
Newcastle Jets struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.