AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Feb 18, 2023

Macarthur FC

Home
VS
07:00

Newcastle Jets

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Macarthur FC Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Newcastle Jets Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 2.52 - 0.34
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.3
Score Prediction Analysis
Macarthur FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Newcastle Jets Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%) 3-0 (15%) 1-0 (14%) 2-1 (6%) 0-0 (6%) 3-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 27%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
Macarthur FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 12 Macarthur… vs Wellingto… 2-1
Feb 04 Macarthur… vs Melbourne… 6-1
Jan 20 Macarthur… vs Adelaide … 1-0
Jan 13 Macarthur… vs Central C… 1-2
Jan 08 Macarthur… vs Newcastle… 2-0
Dec 24 Macarthur… vs Sydney 0-3
Dec 18 Macarthur… vs Perth Glo… 1-0
Dec 11 Macarthur… vs Melbourne… 0-1
Nov 13 Macarthur… vs Central C… 2-3
Nov 06 Macarthur… vs Wellingto… 4-1
Newcastle Jets Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 Newcastle… vs Brisbane … 4-0
Jan 22 Newcastle… vs Western S… 1-1
Jan 08 Newcastle… vs Macarthur… 2-0
Jan 01 Newcastle… vs Sydney 0-2
Nov 12 Newcastle… vs Melbourne… 1-2
Oct 28 Newcastle… vs Western S… 2-0
Oct 22 Newcastle… vs Wellingto… 3-1
Apr 20 Newcastle… vs Western S… 3-2
Mar 25 Newcastle… vs Sydney 2-0
Mar 18 Newcastle… vs Wellingto… 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Macarthur FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Newcastle Jets struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 08, 2023 Macarthur FC 2 - 0 Newcastle Jets A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Macarthur FC Power 0
Newcastle Jets Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Macarthur FC Position

-3

Position Gap

1

Newcastle Jets Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 71%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.