AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
African Nations Championship - Qualification Mar 09, 2025

Egypt

Home
VS
19:30

South Africa

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Egypt Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
South Africa Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.71 - 0.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.3
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Egypt Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
South Africa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (19%) 0-0 (13%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Egypt Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 Egypt vs South Afr… 1-1
Oct 16 Egypt vs Algeria 1-1
Mar 29 Egypt vs Arsenal 1-0
Mar 25 Egypt vs Arsenal 1-0
Feb 06 Egypt vs Arsenal 0-0
Jan 26 Egypt vs Ivory Coa… 0-0
Jan 11 Egypt vs Algeria 1-0
Dec 11 Egypt vs Jordan 3-1
Dec 07 Egypt vs Algeria 1-1
South Africa Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 02 South Afr… vs Egypt 1-1
Jun 11 South Afr… vs Zimbabwe 3-1
Jul 14 South Afr… vs Zambia 1-2
Nov 11 South Afr… vs Zimbabwe 1-0
Sep 03 South Afr… vs Zimbabwe 0-0
Jul 14 South Afr… vs Zambia 0-0
Oct 11 South Afr… vs Zambia 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 02, 2025 South Africa 1 - 1 Egypt African Nation…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Egypt to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Egypt Power 0
South Africa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.