AI Match Insights

African Nations Championship - Qualification Mar 02, 2025

South Africa

Home
VS
15:00

Egypt

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
South Africa Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Egypt Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.80 - 0.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
South Africa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Egypt Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
81%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (36%) 1-0 (29%) 2-0 (12%) 0-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 8%
Under 2.5 Goals 92%
South Africa Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 11 South Afr… vs Zimbabwe 3-1
Jul 14 South Afr… vs Zambia 1-2
Nov 11 South Afr… vs Zimbabwe 1-0
Sep 03 South Afr… vs Zimbabwe 0-0
Jul 14 South Afr… vs Zambia 0-0
Oct 11 South Afr… vs Zambia 1-2
Egypt Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 16 Egypt vs Algeria 1-1
Mar 29 Egypt vs Arsenal 1-0
Mar 25 Egypt vs Arsenal 1-0
Feb 06 Egypt vs Arsenal 0-0
Jan 26 Egypt vs Ivory Coa… 0-0
Jan 11 Egypt vs Algeria 1-0
Dec 11 Egypt vs Jordan 3-1
Dec 07 Egypt vs Algeria 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: South Africa to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
South Africa Power 0
Egypt Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.