National Soccer League · Apr 05, 2025 13:00
Bugesera
PWR 35
Bugesera
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
APR
PWR 35
PWR 35
29% H
28% D
43% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (25%)
0-0 (21%)
0-2 (15%)
1-1 (9%)
1-0 (8%)
0-3 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 4.4% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Bugesera Form
LLDDL
DOWN
APR Form
DWWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.520%
BTTS21%
Under 2.580%
Bugesera Goals
0
70%
1
25%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
APR Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.36
Bugeseravs
1.19
APRDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum38%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Bugesera-11
Gap#1
APR
WR 44% 21 pts
WR 40% 37 pts
Bugesera
4.0%
| Mar 15 | Bugesera v Police | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Bugesera v AS Kiga… | 1-0 |
| Dec 21 | Bugesera v Mukura | 0-0 |
| Dec 13 | Bugesera v Police | 2-2 |
| Dec 07 | Bugesera v AS Kiga… | 1-2 |
| Nov 27 | Bugesera v APR | 2-0 |
| Oct 26 | Bugesera v Kiyovu … | 1-2 |
| Oct 19 | Bugesera v Kiyovu … | 2-0 |
| Sep 15 | Bugesera v Rutsiro | 2-3 |
| Apr 26 | Bugesera v Police | 1-2 |
APR
14.0%
| Mar 14 | APR v Gasogi … | 0-0 |
| Mar 02 | APR v Police | 1-3 |
| Feb 16 | APR v AS Kiga… | 2-1 |
| Jan 12 | APR v Amagaju | 1-0 |
| Jan 08 | APR v Marines | 1-2 |
| Jan 04 | APR v Musanze | 0-1 |
| Dec 04 | APR v Police | 1-1 |
| Dec 01 | APR v AS Kiga… | 0-1 |
| Nov 27 | APR v Bugesera | 2-0 |
| Nov 03 | APR v Gorilla | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Nov 27, 2024 | APR | 2-0 | Bugesera |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Bugesera | 0-0 | APR |
| Oct 10, 2023 | APR | 1-1 | Bugesera |
| Apr 02, 2023 | APR | 2-1 | Bugesera |
| Oct 07, 2022 | Bugesera | 2-1 | APR |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Bugesera | 0-0 | APR |
| Dec 12, 2021 | APR | 2-1 | Bugesera |
| Jun 10, 2021 | Bugesera | 0-3 | APR |
| May 11, 2021 | APR | 2-1 | Bugesera |
Key Factors
APR in strong form (3W in last 5)
Bugesera struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.