National Soccer League · Nov 27, 2024 16:00
Bugesera
PWR 35
APR
PWR 35
PWR 35
2 - 0
FT
Bugesera
PWR 35
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
APR Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (25%)
2-0 (21%)
0-0 (15%)
3-0 (11%)
1-1 (6%)
2-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 10 rules · 84%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
COMBINED_ELITETOP3_VS_BOTTOMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONFORM_MISMATCHCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (10 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
APR Form
DWDDD
STABLE
Bugesera Form
WLLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.529%
BTTS17%
Under 2.571%
APR Goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Bugesera Goals
0
79%
1
19%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
APRvs
0.24
BugeseraDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum86%
Standings87%
Market50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
APR+11
Gap#12
Bugesera
WR 75% 37 pts
WR 11% 21 pts
APR
12.0%
| Nov 03 | APR v Gorilla | 0-0 |
| Oct 20 | APR v Gasogi … | 1-0 |
| Sep 29 | APR v Etincel… | 0-0 |
| Jul 19 | APR v Al Hila… | 0-0 |
| May 12 | APR v Amagaju | 1-1 |
| May 03 | APR v Gorilla | 2-0 |
| Apr 28 | APR v Gasogi … | 1-1 |
| Apr 15 | APR v AS Kiga… | 2-2 |
| Mar 02 | APR v Etincel… | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | APR v Bugesera | 0-0 |
Bugesera
8.0%
| Oct 26 | Bugesera v Kiyovu … | 1-2 |
| Oct 19 | Bugesera v Kiyovu … | 2-0 |
| Sep 15 | Bugesera v Rutsiro | 2-3 |
| Apr 26 | Bugesera v Police | 1-2 |
| Apr 20 | Bugesera v Kiyovu … | 1-2 |
| Mar 02 | Bugesera v Mukura | 0-2 |
| Feb 18 | Bugesera v APR | 0-0 |
| Jan 26 | Bugesera v Kiyovu … | 2-2 |
| Jan 13 | Bugesera v AS Kiga… | 0-0 |
| Dec 05 | Bugesera v Police | 4-2 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Feb 18, 2024 | Bugesera | 0-0 | APR |
| Oct 10, 2023 | APR | 1-1 | Bugesera |
| Apr 02, 2023 | APR | 2-1 | Bugesera |
| Oct 07, 2022 | Bugesera | 2-1 | APR |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Bugesera | 0-0 | APR |
| Dec 12, 2021 | APR | 2-1 | Bugesera |
| Jun 10, 2021 | Bugesera | 0-3 | APR |
| May 11, 2021 | APR | 2-1 | Bugesera |
Key Factors
Bugesera struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.