National Soccer League · Oct 10, 2023 16:00

Bugesera
PWR 35
APR
PWR 35
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

Bugesera
PWR 35
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
APR Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (29%)
0-0 (22%)
2-0 (19%)
3-0 (8%)
1-1 (6%)
0-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 10 rules · 84%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
COMBINED_ELITETOP3_VS_BOTTOMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONFORM_MISMATCHCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (10 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
APR Form
WDWWD
STABLE
Bugesera Form
LWLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.520%
BTTS13%
Under 2.580%
APR Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Bugesera Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
APRvs
0.20
BugeseraDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings87%
Market50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
APR+11
Gap#12
Bugesera
WR 75% 37 pts
WR 11% 21 pts
APR
16.0%
| Oct 06 | APR v Musanze | 2-1 |
| Sep 23 | APR v Marines | 2-2 |
| Aug 28 | APR v Police | 1-0 |
| May 28 | APR v Gorilla | 1-2 |
| Apr 29 | APR v AS Kiga… | 0-0 |
| Apr 22 | APR v Police | 2-1 |
| Apr 15 | APR v Gasogi … | 0-0 |
| Apr 02 | APR v Bugesera | 2-1 |
| Mar 11 | APR v Marines | 2-3 |
| Feb 26 | APR v Musanze | 0-3 |
Bugesera
8.0%
| Aug 21 | Bugesera v AS Kiga… | 1-0 |
| May 28 | Bugesera v AS Kiga… | 2-1 |
| Apr 16 | Bugesera v Kiyovu … | 0-2 |
| Apr 02 | Bugesera v APR | 2-1 |
| Mar 11 | Bugesera v Police | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | Bugesera v Mukura | 0-1 |
| Feb 17 | Bugesera v Rutsiro | 3-0 |
| Dec 21 | Bugesera v Rutsiro | 2-1 |
| Dec 11 | Bugesera v Mukura | 0-1 |
| Dec 04 | Bugesera v Kiyovu … | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Apr 02, 2023 | APR | 2-1 | Bugesera |
| Oct 07, 2022 | Bugesera | 2-1 | APR |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Bugesera | 0-0 | APR |
| Dec 12, 2021 | APR | 2-1 | Bugesera |
| Jun 10, 2021 | Bugesera | 0-3 | APR |
| May 11, 2021 | APR | 2-1 | Bugesera |
Key Factors
APR in strong form (3W in last 5)
Bugesera struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.