National Soccer League · Oct 10, 2023 16:00
APR
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

Bugesera
PWR 35
55% H 23% D 22% A
Final Verdict
APR Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (29%) 0-0 (22%) 2-0 (19%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 10 rules · 84%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
COMBINED_ELITETOP3_VS_BOTTOMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONFORM_MISMATCHCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (10 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
APR Form WDWWD
STABLE
Bugesera Form LWLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.520%
BTTS13%
Under 2.580%
APR Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Bugesera Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
APR
vs
0.20
Bugesera
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings87%
Market50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
APR
+11
Gap
#12
Bugesera
WR 75% 37 pts WR 11% 21 pts
APR 16.0%
Oct 06 APR v Musanze 2-1
Sep 23 APR v Marines 2-2
Aug 28 APR v Police 1-0
May 28 APR v Gorilla 1-2
Apr 29 APR v AS Kiga… 0-0
Apr 22 APR v Police 2-1
Apr 15 APR v Gasogi … 0-0
Apr 02 APR v Bugesera 2-1
Mar 11 APR v Marines 2-3
Feb 26 APR v Musanze 0-3
Bugesera 8.0%
Aug 21 Bugesera v AS Kiga… 1-0
May 28 Bugesera v AS Kiga… 2-1
Apr 16 Bugesera v Kiyovu … 0-2
Apr 02 Bugesera v APR 2-1
Mar 11 Bugesera v Police 2-1
Mar 04 Bugesera v Mukura 0-1
Feb 17 Bugesera v Rutsiro 3-0
Dec 21 Bugesera v Rutsiro 2-1
Dec 11 Bugesera v Mukura 0-1
Dec 04 Bugesera v Kiyovu … 1-0
Head-to-Head (6)
Apr 02, 2023 APR 2-1 Bugesera
Oct 07, 2022 Bugesera 2-1 APR
Apr 17, 2022 Bugesera 0-0 APR
Dec 12, 2021 APR 2-1 Bugesera
Jun 10, 2021 Bugesera 0-3 APR
May 11, 2021 APR 2-1 Bugesera
Key Factors
APR in strong form (3W in last 5)
Bugesera struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.