AI Match Insights

W-League Mar 21, 2021

Adelaide United Women

Home
VS
05:05

Western Sydney Wanderers Women

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Adelaide United Women Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Western Sydney Wanderers Women Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 18%
xG: 3.46 - 0.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.4 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Adelaide United Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Western Sydney Wanderers Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (13%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Adelaide United Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 12 Adelaide … vs Brisbane … 4-2
Mar 06 Adelaide … vs Sydney FC… 2-0
Feb 26 Adelaide … vs Newcastle… 1-2
Feb 21 Adelaide … vs Sydney FC… 2-1
Feb 14 Adelaide … vs Canberra … 2-1
Jan 21 Adelaide … vs Melbourne… 2-1
Jan 14 Adelaide … vs Perth Glo… 1-2
Jan 09 Adelaide … vs Perth Glo… 1-0
Dec 30 Adelaide … vs Canberra … 4-3
Western Sydney Wanderers Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 11 Western S… vs Melbourne… 0-4
Feb 25 Western S… vs Melbourne… 1-0
Feb 18 Western S… vs Perth Glo… 1-0
Feb 11 Western S… vs Brisbane … 1-2
Jan 30 Western S… vs Canberra … 3-0
Jan 23 Western S… vs Newcastle… 4-1
Jan 16 Western S… vs Sydney FC… 2-0
Jan 02 Western S… vs Newcastle… 2-1
Dec 30 Western S… vs Sydney FC… 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Adelaide United Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Western Sydney Wanderers Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Adelaide United Women to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Adelaide United Women Power 0
Western Sydney Wanderers Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Adelaide United Women Position

+5

Position Gap

10

Western Sydney Wanderers Women Position

Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 57%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.