AI Match Insights

Premiership Dec 29, 2024

Dundee Utd

Home
VS
17:15

Aberdeen

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Dundee Utd Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Aberdeen Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 4.50 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.4
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dundee Utd Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Aberdeen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 1-0 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Dundee Utd Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 22 Dundee Utd vs Celtic 0-0
Dec 21 Dundee Utd vs Rangers FC 1-0
Dec 14 Dundee Utd vs Motherwell 4-3
Dec 07 Dundee Utd vs Heart of … 2-0
Dec 07 Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock 1-1
Dec 04 Dundee Utd vs Motherwell 4-1
Nov 30 Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock 1-1
Nov 30 Dundee Utd vs St. Mirren 2-0
Nov 23 Dundee Utd vs Hibernian 4-1
Nov 23 Dundee Utd vs Rangers FC 1-1
Aberdeen Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 26 Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock 4-0
Dec 21 Aberdeen vs Hibernian 1-3
Dec 04 Aberdeen vs Celtic 0-1
Nov 26 Aberdeen vs Hibernian 3-3
Nov 23 Aberdeen vs St. Mirren 2-1
Nov 09 Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd 4-1
Nov 02 Aberdeen vs Celtic 6-0
Oct 30 Aberdeen vs Rangers FC 2-1
Oct 26 Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd 1-0
Oct 19 Aberdeen vs Celtic 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Dundee Utd struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Aberdeen struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 09, 2024 Aberdeen 4 - 1 Dundee Utd Premiership
Oct 26, 2024 Aberdeen 1 - 0 Dundee Utd Premiership
Sep 28, 2024 Dundee Utd 1 - 2 Aberdeen Premiership
Apr 13, 2024 Aberdeen 0 - 0 Dundee Utd Premiership
Mar 13, 2024 Dundee Utd 1 - 0 Aberdeen Premiership
Jan 30, 2024 Aberdeen 1 - 1 Dundee Utd Premiership
Mar 04, 2023 Dundee Utd 1 - 3 Aberdeen Premiership
Nov 12, 2022 Aberdeen 1 - 0 Dundee Utd Premiership
Oct 08, 2022 Dundee Utd 4 - 0 Aberdeen Premiership
Apr 30, 2022 Aberdeen 1 - 0 Dundee Utd Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dundee Utd Power 0
Aberdeen Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Dundee Utd Position

-1

Position Gap

7

Aberdeen Position

Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.