Premiership · Mar 29, 2025 15:00

St. Mirren
PWR 35
5 - 1
FT

Kilmarnock
PWR 35
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 5-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_LEAKING
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (40.5%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
St. Mirren Form DLLWD
STABLE
Kilmarnock Form DLLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.556%
BTTS56%
Under 2.544%
St. Mirren Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Kilmarnock Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
St. Mirren
vs
1.06
Kilmarnock
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings60%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
St. Mirren
+2
Gap
#11
Kilmarnock
WR 31% 23 pts WR 8% 17 pts
St. Mirren 8.0%
Mar 15 St. Mir… v Motherw… 2-2
Mar 01 St. Mir… v Celtic 2-5
Feb 26 St. Mir… v Heart o… 3-1
Feb 22 St. Mir… v Rangers… 0-2
Feb 10 St. Mir… v Heart o… 1-1
Jan 25 St. Mir… v Aberdeen 0-3
Jan 18 St. Mir… v Queen o… 1-3
Jan 11 St. Mir… v Dundee … 0-1
Jan 05 St. Mir… v Celtic 3-0
Jan 02 St. Mir… v Kilmarn… 2-0
Kilmarnock 6.0%
Mar 15 Kilmarn… v Hiberni… 1-1
Feb 26 Kilmarn… v Rangers… 2-4
Feb 22 Kilmarn… v Aberdeen 1-0
Feb 01 Kilmarn… v Dundee … 1-0
Jan 25 Kilmarn… v Heart o… 3-2
Jan 18 Kilmarn… v Celtic 2-1
Jan 08 Kilmarn… v Motherw… 0-0
Jan 02 Kilmarn… v St. Mir… 2-0
Dec 29 Kilmarn… v Hiberni… 1-0
Dec 26 Kilmarn… v Aberdeen 4-0
Head-to-Head (7)
Jan 02, 2025 Kilmarnock 2-0 St. Mirren
Sep 14, 2024 St. Mirren 2-2 Kilmarnock
May 11, 2024 St. Mirren 0-1 Kilmarnock
Mar 16, 2024 Kilmarnock 5-2 St. Mirren
Dec 27, 2023 St. Mirren 0-1 Kilmarnock
Sep 30, 2023 Kilmarnock 1-1 St. Mirren
Apr 22, 2023 St. Mirren 0-2 Kilmarnock
Key Factors
Kilmarnock struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.