Primeira Liga · Jan 04, 2025 18:00
Benfica
PWR 35
SC Braga
PWR 35
Benfica
PWR 35
1 - 2
FT
SC Braga
PWR 35
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Benfica to win (56% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
56%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (54%)
1-0 (22%)
0-1 (11%)
2-0 (5%)
1-1 (4%)
0-2 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Benfica Form
LLWWW
DOWN
SC Braga Form
LWWDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.52%
BTTS6%
Under 2.598%
Benfica Goals
0
66%
1
27%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
SC Braga Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.41
Benficavs
0.20
SC BragaDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings57%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Benfica+2
Gap#5
SC Braga
WR 60% 46 pts
WR 46% 36 pts
Benfica
12.0%
| Dec 29 | Benfica v Sp Lisb… | 1-0 |
| Dec 29 | Benfica v Sportin… | 1-0 |
| Dec 23 | Benfica v Estoril | 3-0 |
| Dec 23 | Benfica v Estoril | 3-0 |
| Dec 19 | Benfica v Nacional | 0-2 |
| Dec 19 | Benfica v Nacional | 0-2 |
| Dec 15 | Benfica v AVS | 1-1 |
| Dec 07 | Benfica v Guimara… | 1-0 |
| Dec 01 | Benfica v Arouca | 0-2 |
| Dec 01 | Benfica v MarĂtimo | 1-1 |
SC Braga
12.0%
| Dec 29 | SC Braga v Casa Pi… | 1-2 |
| Dec 22 | SC Braga v Santa C… | 0-2 |
| Dec 22 | SC Braga v Santa C… | 0-2 |
| Dec 16 | SC Braga v Famalic… | 3-3 |
| Dec 16 | SC Braga v Famalic… | 3-3 |
| Dec 07 | SC Braga v Varzim | 1-0 |
| Dec 06 | SC Braga v Estoril | 2-2 |
| Dec 06 | SC Braga v Estoril | 2-2 |
| Dec 01 | SC Braga v AVS | 0-1 |
| Dec 01 | SC Braga v AVS | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Apr 27, 2024 | Benfica | 3-1 | SC Braga |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Benfica | 3-1 | SC Braga |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Benfica | 3-2 | SC Braga |
| Dec 17, 2023 | SC Braga | 0-1 | Benfica |
| Dec 17, 2023 | SC Braga | 0-1 | Benfica |
| May 06, 2023 | Benfica | 1-0 | SC Braga |
| Feb 09, 2023 | SC Braga | 1-1 | Benfica |
| Dec 30, 2022 | SC Braga | 3-0 | Benfica |
Key Factors
Benfica in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.