A-League · Jan 03, 2025 08:35

Brisbane Roar
PWR 35
1 - 3
FT

Central Coast Mariners
PWR 35
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-2 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-3 (5%) 2-3 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Brisbane Roar Form LDLDL
STABLE
Central Coast … Form DLDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.573%
BTTS75%
Under 2.527%
Brisbane Ro… Goals
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Central Coa… Goals
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Brisbane Roar
vs
2.04
Central Coast …
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings53%
Market50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Brisbane Ro…
+2
Gap
#10
Central Coa…
WR 38% 21 pts WR 38% 19 pts
Brisbane Roar 4.0%
Dec 21 Brisban… v Perth G… 0-1
Dec 14 Brisban… v Western… 2-2
Dec 06 Brisban… v Melbour… 1-4
Nov 30 Brisban… v Macarth… 4-4
Nov 23 Brisban… v Adelaid… 2-3
Nov 09 Brisban… v Melbour… 2-0
Oct 19 Brisban… v Auckland 2-0
Oct 05 Brisban… v Adelaid… 1-1
Jul 23 Brisban… v Perth G… 2-4
Apr 26 Brisban… v Adelaid… 3-4
Central Coast … 8.0%
Dec 31 Central… v Melbour… 1-1
Dec 28 Central… v Auckland 1-4
Dec 23 Central… v Macarth… 1-1
Dec 13 Central… v Adelaid… 0-4
Dec 08 Central… v Sydney 2-1
Nov 10 Central… v Welling… 0-3
Nov 02 Central… v Perth G… 0-0
Oct 26 Central… v Adelaid… 1-1
Oct 18 Central… v Melbour… 0-0
Oct 06 Central… v Welling… 2-1
Head-to-Head (7)
Jan 27, 2024 Central Coast… 2-0 Brisbane Roar
Dec 21, 2023 Brisbane Roar 0-3 Central Coast…
Nov 12, 2023 Central Coast… 1-2 Brisbane Roar
Apr 01, 2023 Central Coast… 4-1 Brisbane Roar
Feb 10, 2023 Brisbane Roar 1-2 Central Coast…
May 03, 2022 Brisbane Roar 0-2 Central Coast…
Mar 05, 2022 Central Coast… 2-1 Brisbane Roar
Key Factors
Brisbane Roar struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.