AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Apr 01, 2023

Central Coast Mariners

Home
VS
06:00

Brisbane Roar

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Central Coast Mariners Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Brisbane Roar Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 4.50 - 0.86
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.9
Score Prediction Analysis
Central Coast Mariners Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Brisbane Roar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Central Coast Mariners Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 19 Central C… vs Melbourne… 2-0
Mar 11 Central C… vs Macarthur… 4-1
Mar 04 Central C… vs Western S… 2-0
Feb 24 Central C… vs Wellingto… 1-1
Feb 18 Central C… vs Perth Glo… 2-2
Feb 10 Central C… vs Brisbane … 1-2
Feb 04 Central C… vs Sydney 3-2
Jan 28 Central C… vs Western S… 2-2
Jan 22 Central C… vs Wellingto… 2-1
Jan 13 Central C… vs Macarthur… 1-2
Brisbane Roar Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 12 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 2-1
Mar 05 Brisbane … vs Macarthur… 3-2
Feb 26 Brisbane … vs Perth Glo… 2-1
Feb 10 Brisbane … vs Central C… 1-2
Feb 04 Brisbane … vs Adelaide … 2-1
Jan 27 Brisbane … vs Newcastle… 4-0
Jan 21 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 0-0
Jan 14 Brisbane … vs Wellingto… 0-1
Jan 10 Brisbane … vs Perth Glo… 2-1
Jan 06 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Brisbane Roar struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 10, 2023 Brisbane Roar 1 - 2 Central Coast Marin… A-League
May 03, 2022 Brisbane Roar 0 - 2 Central Coast Marin… A-League
Mar 05, 2022 Central Coast Marin… 2 - 1 Brisbane Roar A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Central Coast Mariners Power 0
Brisbane Roar Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Central Coast Mariners Position

-4

Position Gap

7

Brisbane Roar Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.