AI Match Insights

Pro League Feb 25, 2025

Al-Ahli Saudi

Home
VS
15:30

Al Akhdoud

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Al-Ahli Saudi Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Al Akhdoud Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
CS68+S65 (82.8%) S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) CS68+M80 (75.0%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 93%
Market 50%
Combined: 69% Draw Risk: 16%
xG: 4.50 - 0.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.5 Position gap: 15 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Ahli Saudi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Al Akhdoud Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (3%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Al-Ahli Saudi Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 21 Al-Ahli S… vs Damac 0-2
Feb 14 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Riyadh 1-1
Feb 13 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Nassr 2-3
Feb 08 Al-Ahli S… vs Damac 2-2
Feb 07 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Fateh … 2-0
Feb 03 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Sadd SC 1-3
Jan 31 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Akhdoud 4-0
Jan 27 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Qadisi… 2-1
Jan 26 Al-Ahli S… vs Al Riyadh 5-0
Jan 20 Al-Ahli S… vs Al-Ettifaq 1-2
Al Akhdoud Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 24 Al Akhdoud vs Al-Fateh … 1-3
Feb 13 Al Akhdoud vs Damac 0-0
Feb 08 Al Akhdoud vs Al-Ettifaq 0-2
Feb 01 Al Akhdoud vs Al-Ittiha… 4-3
Jan 31 Al Akhdoud vs Al-Ahli S… 4-0
Jan 26 Al Akhdoud vs Al Khalee… 1-2
Jan 20 Al Akhdoud vs Al-Fateh … 1-0
Jan 16 Al Akhdoud vs Al-Fateh … 1-2
Jan 15 Al Akhdoud vs Al-Ahli S… 1-0
Jan 09 Al Akhdoud vs Al-Nassr 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al Akhdoud struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 31, 2025 Al-Ahli Saudi 4 - 0 Al Akhdoud Pro League
Jan 15, 2025 Al Akhdoud 1 - 0 Al-Ahli Saudi Pro League
Oct 25, 2024 Al-Ahli Saudi 1 - 1 Al Akhdoud Pro League
Sep 28, 2024 Al Akhdoud 2 - 4 Al-Ahli Saudi Pro League
Aug 24, 2024 Al Akhdoud 0 - 3 Al-Ahli Saudi Pro League
Apr 02, 2024 Al-Ahli Saudi 3 - 0 Al Akhdoud Pro League
Feb 16, 2024 Al Akhdoud 3 - 2 Al-Ahli Saudi Pro League
Oct 07, 2023 Al Akhdoud 0 - 3 Al-Ahli Saudi Pro League
Aug 24, 2023 Al-Ahli Saudi 1 - 0 Al Akhdoud Pro League
Feb 07, 2023 Al Akhdoud 1 - 2 Al-Ahli Saudi First Division…
Final Verdict

MASTER: Al-Ahli Saudi to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 15
Al-Ahli Saudi Power 0
Al Akhdoud Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Al-Ahli Saudi Position

+15

Position Gap

17

Al Akhdoud Position

Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.